- You must read all the textbooks I uploaded before starting to write.
- You need to strictly follow the assignment requirements.
- I will request unlimited revisions if the assignment does not meet the requirements.
- I will request a refund if the assignment does not pass.
- If you cannot accept these terms, please do not quote me.
- The "AS2" is a scoring sheet that needs to cover all the sub-items.
- "7029- Assessment2 Brief" contains the assignment requirements. The analysis and completion of the assignment need to be based on the content provided in this WORD document.
- "Sample+case-study_tech-innovations-ltd" is a sample case study provided by the teacher.
- "MN7029 Assessment 2" contains the writing process provided by the teacher.
- Kindly note that the submission of your AS2 is to be presented in ppt. slides.
- Slides submission: 15 slides excluding references and appendix (maximum 20 slides); to include the student’s name and number for your AS2.
- Word documents: a complete filled up Assessment Submission Form.
In other words, 2 sets of documents are required:
- ppt slides
- word documents
-
MN7029Assessment21.docx
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AS2.docx
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7029-Assessment2Brief.docx
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Samplecase-study_tech-innovations-ltd282291.docx
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MN7029SRModuleHandbookMar24.docx
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Lesson9CreatingaBusinessPlan.pptx
-
Lesson10MakingCapitalInvestmentDecisions.pptx
-
Lesson8FullCostingandBudgeting.pptx
-
Lesson5MeasuringandReportingCashFlows11.pdf
-
Lesson11MakingCapitalInvestmentDecisionsContd.pptx
-
Lesson7CostBehaviour.pptx
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Lesson5FinancialAnalysisandInterpretation.pptx
-
Lesson1Introductiontoaccountingandfinance.pptx
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Lesson4CashFlowmanagement.pptx
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Lesson6WorkingCapitalManagement.pptx
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Lesson12Financingabusiness.pptx
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Lesson2Measuringandreportingfinancialposition.pptx
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Lesson3Understandingtheincomestatement.pptx
MN7029 Assessment 2
The assessment consists of
The written PowerPoint document answering the questions and containing your calculations in the body of the document or Appendices
You may want to use more than one slide to explain a particular aspect.
Please feel free to use pictures, graphs or other illustrations to explain your point
a) Title
b) Name
c) Student number
d) Executive Summary
e) Introduction-Content Page
f) Calculation of WACC and explanation (Detailed calculations should be included as an appendix)
a) Projected cash flow statement
b) Calculation of NPV and Payback period using the WACC Calculation should here or appendix
c) Calculation of NPV using a 20% Cost of Capital Calculation should be here or in appendix
d) Your decision regarding proceeding with the project and justification. (Calculation should be here or in appendix)
e) Critical evaluation of 4 main capital investment appraisal techniques
f) Types of Finance available
g) Conclusion
h) Appendix 1 Detailed calculations or further information. Include any additional information that might be helpful. E.g. back up to financial projections or calculations.
i) Any other additional slides you wish to include
j) In text citations
k) Harvard Referencing.
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Guildhall School of Business and Law
Feedback/Feedforward Coversheet
MN7029SR Financial Decision Making |
Academic Year 2024/25 Assessment 2 Individual Assignment |
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First Marker: |
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Second Marker: |
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Title of presentation: |
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Level of achievement |
Marks to be awarded |
First Marker |
Second Marker |
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15 m |
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15 m |
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Calculation of NPV and Payback Period using the WACC you have calculated |
15 m |
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Calculation of NPV and Payback Period using a 20% cost of capital |
15 m |
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A decision as to whether the project should go ahead and your justification for this decision |
5 m |
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An explanation of the benefits and limitations of the 4 main investment appraisal techniques |
10 m |
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An explanation of the different types of funding available to a companies (Long term, short term, equity and debt and others), the advantages and disadvantages of each and a detailed explanation of what a bank might look at in deciding whether to make a loan to a company and the steps they might take for extra protection on the loan repayment. |
15 m |
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Your report and presentation: executive summary, professionalism, summary recording, logical flow and conclusion |
10 m |
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Total |
100 m |
From First Marker |
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Knowledge and understanding |
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Analysis and evaluation |
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From Second Marker |
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Knowledge and understanding |
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Analysis and evaluation |
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Agreed Marks First Marker’s marks /date Second Marker’s marks/date |
Please upload the Turnitin Report
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2
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Appendix 2
Assessment 2
Introduction
The assessment assesses learning outcomes 2 and 3 of the 3 module learning outcomes of this module, which are that on successful completion of the module students will be able to:
· Demonstrate an understanding and use of the appropriate analytical techniques to be applied to business case development and Investment appraisal; the raising of finance and the distribution of funds to investors;
· Communicate financial information, analysis, issues and recommendations clearly and concisely.
The Question
Background information
Smart Home Plc (a fictional company) is a UK incorporated and UK tax resident technology company focussing on the manufacture and retail of internet enabling devices for homes.
The business has been conducting Research and Development on a new smart watch and now needs to make a decision whether to go ahead with launching the product and determining what is an appropriate price for it.
You are the Business Manager responsible for the product launch and the CEO has asked you to prepare a report on the investment in the new product. With the Finance Manager on leave for the next 3 weeks, you are on your own for the presentation.
You have been given the following information from various teams in the organisation.
R&D Team
“We’ve spent quite a lot on developing this project – £450,000 – and it would be a shame if we didn’t get it to market. I would estimate that we would need to spend around and other £60,000 on research costs to get it to a position where it is ready to launch”.
The production department:
“I’ve looked into the production of the smart watch and we will need to purchase a new machine to manufacture at the scale we want which will which will cost us £1,500,000. We have spare capacity in current staff to run the machine, but we will need to hire a “Specialist Supervisor” for the machine – I asked the HR team to let me know what the salary for that person would be, but they haven’t got back to me yet. The machine will last for around 5 years – you need that for your depreciation calculations right?”
The Marketing director
“I’ve done some research on the potential pricing of the watch and likely customer targets and worked with someone in the finance team to look at pricing. I think our wholesale sales price should be £150 per watch over the course of the whole 5 years. The cost of the raw materials makes up 40% of the sales price. My team have estimated that sales for the first 5 years should be as follows:
Year 1 |
10,000 watches |
Year 2 |
12,500 watches |
Year 3 |
15,750 watches |
Year 4 |
15,750 watches |
Year 5 |
12,350 watches |
After 5 years we think that the tech will have advanced beyond this and the product will no longer be attractive so we are assuming that the life of this project will probably only be until then before we need to make a new investment, and we are constantly innovating other projects. The machine will not have any scrap value at this stage.
We’re planning an advertising and marketing campaign costing £545k in year 1 to get started and these costs will the same in in year 2 and 3, and fall to £190k in years 4 and 5. Oh, and HR have just confirmed that the Supervisor salary and benefits will start at £36k in year 1 but we expect inflationary rises to be 3% year on year. That includes our National Insurance costs”
You have investigated how to calculate an appropriate cost of capital (WACC) and gathered the following information:
· The market value of the shares is £2.75 per share and there are 5.5 million ordinary shares in issue. Dividends are expected to continue at 30p per share for the foreseeable future
· The company has £10m in irredeemable loan capital with an interest rate of 7% and it is currently quoted at £95 per £100. The tax rate is 20%.
The business has previously been using an estimated Weighted Average Cost of Capital of 20% and the management team would like to see your calculations using the WACC you have calculated and the original estimate of 20%.
Your task
In the absence of the Finance Manager the CEO wants you to make a presentation to the Board about whether the project should go ahead. The Board are not finance people but are very interested in the techniques that are used to appraise investments and so would like a comprehensive explanation of how you came to your conclusion. In particular they would like you to include the following:
1. Executive summary
2. A projected cash flow for the project over its 5 year life
3. An explanation of cost of capital including:
a. What is Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)?
b. What do we use WACC for?
c. Your calculations of the WACC of capital for the business showing each of the individual components.
4. A financial evaluation of the project using the NPV and Payback Period Methods including:
a. Your calculations of NPV and Payback period for the project using WACC (the detail should be in the Appendix of the report and should be calculated in Excel)
b. Your calculations of NPV and Payback period for the project using the previous business cost of capital of 20% (the detail should be in the Appendix of the report and should be calculated in Excel)
c. A decision as to whether the project should go ahead and your justification for this decisions
5. An explanation of the benefits and limitations of the 4 main investment appraisal techniques.
6. An explanation of the different types of funding available to a company (Long term, short term, equity and debt and others), the advantages and disadvantages of each and a detailed explanation of what a bank might look at in deciding whether to make a loan to a company and the steps they might take for extra protection on the loan repayment.
7. Conclusion
Your report should have an executive summary at the start and a conclusion at the end and you should conclude on the viability of the project at the current cost of capital and the situation if cost of capital were 20%.
Structure of the report
The report should be prepared in PowerPoint and should contain the following slides:
· Executive summary ( A summary of your proposal in a page)
· Introduction
· Calculation and critical evaluation of WACC (detailed calculation may be shown in an Appendix)
· Projected cash flow
· Calculation of NPV and PP (detailed calculation may be shown in an Appendix) using the WACC
· Calculation of NPV and PP (detailed calculation may be shown in an Appendix) using a cost of capital of 20%
· Explanation of and critical evaluation of the 4 main capital investment appraisal techniques
· Critical explanation of different forms of funding for companies
· Conclusion
· Appendices – detailed calculations and references
The Powerpoint file should be uploaded to Turnitin. A template is provided but you should feel free to adapt and personalise this.
Assessment Marking Scheme
The assessment is marked out of 100.
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2
Case Study: Investment Appraisal for Tech Innovations Ltd.
Introduction
This assessment evaluates the learning outcomes of this module. Upon successful completion, students will be able to:
· Demonstrate an understanding and use of the appropriate analytical techniques for business case development, investment appraisal, raising finance, and distribution of funds to investors.
· Communicate financial information, analysis, issues, and recommendations clearly and concisely.
Background Information
Tech Innovations Ltd (a fictional company) is a UK-incorporated and UK tax resident technology company specializing in manufacturing and retailing internet-enabled home devices. The company has been conducting Research and Development (R&D) on a new smart thermostat and now needs to decide whether to launch the product and determine an appropriate price.
As the Business Manager responsible for the product launch, the CEO has tasked you with preparing a report on the investment in the new product. With the Finance Manager on leave for the next three weeks, the responsibility lies solely with you.
You have received the following information from various departments within the organization:
R&D Team
“We’ve spent quite a lot on developing this project – £520,000 – and it would be a shame if we didn’t bring it to market. We estimate that we need to spend another £80,000 on research costs to get it ready for launch.”
Production Department
“I’ve analyzed the production of the smart thermostat. We will need to purchase a new machine for large-scale manufacturing, costing £1,800,000. Our current staff has spare capacity to run the machine, but we will need to hire a ‘Specialist Supervisor’ for the machine. The HR team estimates the salary for this position to be £40,000 per year with a 3% annual inflationary increase. The machine will have a useful life of five years, and we should sell it for spares at about £420,000.”
Marketing Director
“I’ve researched potential pricing and customer targets, collaborating with the finance team to determine a wholesale price of £280 per thermostat over five years. The raw materials cost 30% of the sales price. We estimate the following sales for the first five years:
· Year 1: 20,000 thermostats
· Year 2: 22,000 thermostats
· Year 3: 28,000 thermostats
· Year 4: 34,000 thermostats
· Year 5: 18,000 thermostats
After five years, the technology will likely be outdated. The initial advertising and marketing campaign will cost £400,000 in year one, £600,000 in year two, and £200,000 in years three to five. HR confirmed the Supervisor’s salary and benefits start at £40,000 in year one, increasing by 3% annually.”
Financial Information for WACC Calculation
You have investigated the appropriate cost of capital (WACC) and gathered the following information:
· The market value of the shares is £3.00 per share, with 6 million ordinary shares issued. Dividends are expected to remain at 35p per share indefinitely.
· The company has £12m in irredeemable loan capital with an interest rate of 8%, currently quoted at £90 per £100. The effective tax rate is 20%.
The company has been using an estimated WACC of 18%, and the management team would like to see your calculations using this WACC. In the absence of the Finance Manager, the CEO wants you to present to the Board whether the project should proceed. The Board is interested in the techniques used to appraise investments, so provide a comprehensive explanation of your conclusion, including:
Rubrics
1. Executive Summary
2. Projected Cash Flow for the Project Over Its 5-Year Life
3. Explanation of Cost of Capital
· What is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)?
· What is WACC used for?
· Your calculations of the WACC for the business show each component.
4. Financial Evaluation of the Project Using NPV and Payback Period Methods
· Calculations of NPV and Payback period using the WACC (detailed in the Appendix and calculated in Excel)
· Calculations of NPV and Payback period using the previous business cost of capital of 18% (detailed in the Appendix and calculated in Excel)
· A decision on whether the project should proceed, with justification.
5. Explanation of the Benefits and Limitations of the Four Main Investment Appraisal Techniques
6. Explanation of the Different Types of Funding Available to a Company
· Long-term, short-term, equity, debt, and others.
· Advantages and disadvantages of each.
· A detailed explanation of what a bank might consider when deciding whether to make a loan to a company and the steps they might take for extra protection on the loan repayment.
7. Conclusion
8. Reference List of at least 10 scholarly articles in Havard Referencing style.
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Module Handbook
Module Title:
Financial Decision Making
Module Code:
MN7029SR
Module Leader:
Prof KOH Kee Lee
Dr Suresh Kumar
Session: 2024/25
Teaching period: Spring, March 2024tumn
Pre-requisites: None
Canvas URL: https://stanfort.instructure.com
Teaching team
Details of staff teaching on the module |
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Name |
Role |
Office |
|
Prof Koh Kee Lee |
Dean, EDP |
Level 11, Stanfort Academy |
[email protected] |
Dr Suresh Kumar |
Senior Lecturer |
Level 11, Stanfort Academy |
[email protected] |
Module Summary and Description
This module aims to provide practical methods and approaches to enable business managers and entrepreneurs to understand and use financial information to make effective business decisions. The financial decision-making process demands the understanding of key financial management issues, performance indicators and methodologies to critically analyse accounting and financial information. Strong financial literacy is essential in business.
The module also aims to introduce and examine the preparation and use of accounting and information to inform financial decisions. It provides the understanding of key performance indicators, cashflow management, full costing, working capital management techniques and the budgeting process to manage finances and support management decisions on investment projects and making capital investment decisions. The module concludes with a practice of developing business plan, capital investment decisions and aspects of financing businesses.
The module aims to enable students to be able to:
· ask insightful questions of their financial advisors, to challenge their analysis and to specify their financial information needs
· quickly assess accounting information to evaluate business performance
· create financial forecasts, plans and models, particularly in relation to business planning and investment appraisal.
Module Learning Outcomes
On successful completion of this module students should be able to:
LO1: Critically evaluate company financial performance and make recommendations for improvement;
LO2: Demonstrate an understanding and use of the appropriate analytical techniques to be applied to business case development and Investment appraisal; the raising of finance and the distribution of funds to investors;
LO3: Communicate financial information, analysis, issues and recommendations clearly and concisely.
Module Syllabus/Content
1. Introduction to accounting and finance LO1
2. Measuring and reporting financial position LO1, 2
3. Understanding the income statement LO1, 2
4. Cashflow management LO1, 2,
5. Analysing and interpreting financial statements LO1, 2, 3
6. Managing Working Capital LO1, 2
7. The relevance and behaviour of costs LO1, 2
8. Full costing LO1, 2
9. Budgeting LO1, 2
10. Creating a Business Plan LO2, 3
11. Making Capital Investment Decisions LO2, 3
12. Financing a business LO2, 3
Indicative weekly teaching programme
The indicative weekly programme shows the topic likely to be covered in each teaching week, please note that the precise order can change. Please see Weblearn for more detailed timetable.
Lesson |
Topic |
· Introduction to accounting and Financial Management |
|
2. |
· Reviewing Financial Statements |
3. |
· Financial Planning |
4. |
· Analysing and Interpreting Financial Statements |
5. |
· Cost behaviour, pricing and budgets |
6. |
· Working Capital Management |
7. |
· Making Capital Investment Decisions |
8. |
· Financing a Business |
9. |
· Financing a Business & Cost of Capital |
10. |
· Group Presentations |
11. |
· Group Presentations |
12. |
· Preparing a Business Plan |
To pass the module you must achieve an overall minimum mark of 50%. If you pass the module on re-assessment, the component you resit will be capped at a pass mark level of 50% |
Assessment
All assessments are designed to support your learning and help you develop a deeper understanding of the topics covered in your module.
· Formative assessments provide an opportunity to learn and do not contribute to your grade.
· Summative assessment contributes to your overall mark and grades.
Module Assessments (Summative)
Assessment Method |
Description of Item |
% weighting |
Week Due |
Group Coursework |
Simulation company investor briefing |
30 |
6 May 2024 |
Coursework |
Investment Appraisal |
70 |
25 June 2024 |
Module Assessment Cycle
Assessment 1: Students need to prepare business model of a company , part way through the business simulation, the student teams will prepare a briefing for their shareholders on the latest round of the business simulation explaining their financial performance and positions and plans for the future. They will have 20 minutes to present, with an emphasis on clear and concise communication of the financial issues and proposed actions, group cohesion, and professional behaviour. This assessment covers LO1 and LO3 in the context of the simulation.
Assessment 2: Working individually, students will prepare an investment appraisal of a business project or major sale. They will submit a presentation and a supporting spreadsheet analysis. This address LO2 and LO3.
The module assessment cycle shows all assessment related activities of the module.
How is your work marked?
To pass the module you must achieve an overall minimum mark of 50%. If you pass the module on re-assessment, the component you resit will be capped at a pass mark level of 50%.
The marking process makes sure that our marking of your work is fair and transparent. There is a first marker responsibility for giving your formal feedback and making an initial assessment of the standard of your work by giving it a provisional mark. After this there are two further layers of checking and assurance. It is worth noting that this process means that you are unable to appeal your final marks and/or grades on the grounds of academic judgement.
You will be marked, graded and assessed according to the following PG criteria :
Class |
Mark % |
Characteristics |
Distinction |
70 + |
Excellent in every way. Knowledgeable, incisively analytical, conceptually sound, widelyresearched and well-structured. Displays a critical and sophisticated understanding of ideas, debates, methodologies and principles. Comprehensively cited and referenced. A degree of flair apparent in the work. |
Merit |
60 – 69 |
Very good, well-researched, solid. Addresses question. Sensibly structured and well presented. Evidence of analysis, reasoning and evaluation. May have some errors in emphasis but not in fact, and may be limited in terms of supporting material and breadth of coverage. Appropriately cited and referenced. |
Pass |
50 – 59 |
Average to good. Reasonable bibliography. Signs of effort, though more descriptive than analytical. May have some errors but balanced by sound work. May not fully address the question with deficiencies in knowledge and understanding or directness and organisation. |
Fail |
40 – 49 |
Fail. Descriptive narrative. May be partly irrelevant. Indiscriminate. Lacks structure. Could be more direct and explicit. Little independent research evident. Short bibliography. May be confused or irrelevant. Heavily based on lecture notes, but a minimum of understanding to justify a pass. Answers by inference. |
Fail |
0 – 39 |
Poor. Does not answer question directly. Little evidence of independent reading or lecture notes. Major errors or too brief. Unstructured. |
Very poor indeed. Fails in every respect to answer the question effectively. No evidence of learning, reading or knowledge. Largely irrelevant. Very brief. |
Appendix 1
Assessment 1
Assessment Brief
Forming Groups
The presentation group is the same group that you are working with in the business simulation. It is important that you develop into a high performing team, which requires investment of time and commitment. At the outset it is important to agree when you will meet, for how long and who will arrange each session and keep the group log (attached). All group members should contribute to the decision-making process. You will have one hour available in lesson time for each round of the simulation but you may need to work together outside of this time.
The group must made up of 4 members (maximum).
The Assessment
Your Task
You are required to give a 10-minute presentation to the investors in your business on the strategic financial decisions you made, the financial position of the company. Following the presentation there will be 10 minutes available for Question and Answers.
Each student is required to complete an Individual and Group Work Evaluation log (see appendix) and submit to Turnitin with their PowerPoint presentation.
Presentation structure
Using an appropriate template, you should structure your presentation as follows:
· Title page
· Group member list including student IDs
· Presentation Agenda
· Summary Slide
· Financial performance and analysis
· Key decisions taken
· Appendix – Detailed financial information and calculations
· Appendix – Group Contribution Log
All members of the group should present and each presenter should take ownership of a specific section and a sub-heading slide should be included with the presenter’s name showing the content that they presented.
Assessment Marking Scheme
General Assessment criteria:
The presentation should meet the following criteria:
· It should be clear, concise and professional;
· It should consist of PowerPoint slides and live presentation.
· All members of the group should take part in the presentation;
· It should be no more than 10 minutes long with 5 minutes available at the end for questions.
The assignment is marked out of 100.
Group Log
The group meeting log should be submitted as an appendix slide or slides to your presentation. You do not need to present it.
Describe how you went about tackling the simulation (e.g. did you assign roles, take decisions collectively) |
|
Did anyone take responsibility for making sure that the group submitted the decisions on time for each round? |
|
Did you need to work outside of the time allotted in class and if so how did you organise the group to get together? |
|
How did you resolve conflict in the group? |
|
Do you feel everyone in the group contributed equally to the task? |
|
Is there anything that you would do differently next time? |
Appendix 2
Assessment 2
Assessment Brief
Introduction
The assessment assesses learning outcomes 2 and 3 of the 3 module learning outcomes of this module, which are that on successful completion of the module students will be able to:
· Demonstrate an understanding and use of the appropriate analytical techniques to be applied to business case development and Investment appraisal; the raising of finance and the distribution of funds to investors;
· Communicate financial information, analysis, issues and recommendations clearly and concisely.
The Question
Background information
Smart Home Plc (a fictional company) is a UK incorporated and UK tax resident technology company focussing on the manufacture and retail of internet enabling devices for homes.
The business has been conducting Research and Development on a new smart watch and now needs to make a decision whether to go ahead with launching the product and determining what is an appropriate price for it.
You are the Business Manager responsible for the product launch and the CEO has asked you to prepare a report on the investment in the new product. With the Finance Manager on leave for the next 3 weeks, you are on your own for the presentation.
You have been given the following information from various teams in the organisation.
R&D Team
“We’ve spent quite a lot on developing this project – £450,000 – and it would be a shame if we didn’t get it to market. I would estimate that we would need to spend around and other £60,000 on research costs to get it to a position where it is ready to launch”.
The production department:
“I’ve looked into the production of the smart watch and we will need to purchase a new machine to manufacture at the scale we want which will which will cost us £1,500,000. We have spare capacity in current staff to run the machine, but we will need to hire a “Specialist Supervisor” for the machine – I asked the HR team to let me know what the salary for that person would be, but they haven’t got back to me yet. The machine will last for around 5 years – you need that for your depreciation calculations right?”
The Marketing director
“I’ve done some research on the potential pricing of the watch and likely customer targets and worked with someone in the finance team to look at pricing. I think our wholesale sales price should be £150 per watch over the course of the whole 5 years. The cost of the raw materials makes up 40% of the sales price. My team have estimated that sales for the first 5 years should be as follows:
Year 1 |
10,000 watches |
Year 2 |
12,500 watches |
Year 3 |
15,750 watches |
Year 4 |
15,750 watches |
Year 5 |
12,350 watches |
After 5 years we think that the tech will have advanced beyond this and the product will no longer be attractive so we are assuming that the life of this project will probably only be until then before we need to make a new investment, and we are constantly innovating other projects. The machine will not have any scrap value at this stage.
We’re planning an advertising and marketing campaign costing £545k in year 1 to get started and these costs will the same in in year 2 and 3, and fall to £190k in years 4 and 5. Oh, and HR have just confirmed that the Supervisor salary and benefits will start at £36k in year 1 but we expect inflationary rises to be 3% year on year. That includes our National Insurance costs”
You have investigated how to calculate an appropriate cost of capital (WACC) and gathered the following information:
· The market value of the shares is £2.75 per share and there are 5.5 million ordinary shares in issue. Dividends are expected to continue at 30p per share for the foreseeable future
· The company has £10m in irredeemable loan capital with an interest rate of 7% and it is currently quoted at £95 per £100. The tax rate is 20%.
The business has previously been using an estimated Weighted Average Cost of Capital of 20% and the management team would like to see your calculations using the WACC you have calculated and the original estimate of 20%.
Your task
In the absence of the Finance Manager the CEO wants you to make a presentation to the Board about whether the project should go ahead. The Board are not finance people but are very interested in the techniques that are used to appraise investments and so would like a comprehensive explanation of how you came to your conclusion. In particular they would like you to include the following:
1. Executive summary
2. A projected cash flow for the project over its 5 year life
3. An explanation of cost of capital including:
a. What is Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)?
b. What do we use WACC for?
c. Your calculations of the WACC of capital for the business showing each of the individual components.
4. A financial evaluation of the project using the NPV and Payback Period Methods including:
a. Your calculations of NPV and Payback period for the project using WACC (the detail should be in the Appendix of the report and should be calculated in Excel)
b. Your calculations of NPV and Payback period for the project using the previous business cost of capital of 20% (the detail should be in the Appendix of the report and should be calculated in Excel)
c. A decision as to whether the project should go ahead and your justification for this decisions
5. An explanation of the benefits and limitations of the 4 main investment appraisal techniques.
6. An explanation of the different types of funding available to a company (Long term, short term, equity and debt and others), the advantages and disadvantages of each and a detailed explanation of what a bank might look at in deciding whether to make a loan to a company and the steps they might take for extra protection on the loan repayment.
7. Conclusion
Your report should have an executive summary at the start and a conclusion at the end and you should conclude on the viability of the project at the current cost of capital and the situation if cost of capital were 20%.
Structure of the report
The report should be prepared in PowerPoint and should contain the following slides:
· Executive summary ( A summary of your proposal in a page)
· Introduction
· Calculation and critical evaluation of WACC (detailed calculation may be shown in an Appendix)
· Projected cash flow
· Calculation of NPV and PP (detailed calculation may be shown in an Appendix) using the WACC
· Calculation of NPV and PP (detailed calculation may be shown in an Appendix) using a cost of capital of 20%
· Explanation of and critical evaluation of the 4 main capital investment appraisal techniques
· Critical explanation of different forms of funding for companies
· Conclusion
· Appendices – detailed calculations and references
The Powerpoint file should be uploaded to Turnitin. A template is provided but you should feel free to adapt and personalise this.
Assessment Marking Scheme
The assessment is marked out of 100.
16
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MN7029 Week 4.3
M&A & International Business
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
Week 4.3 – Learning Objects
Identify the main reasons why a company will undertake M&A;
Discuss the legal forms of a takeover;
Consider methods for valuing shares;
Discuss what a business needs to consider when expanding overseas
Identify the key components of a business plan;
Understand what help is available.
Why did Facebook buy Instagram
Two videos to introduce M&A – ten years ago but still very relevant. Key issues to draw out:
$1bn acquisition – before Instagram made any profit, only 8 employees and had only raised $7.5m previously from angel investors and VC
Strategic – Instagram made no money – Facebook was lagging behind in mobile engagement
Facebook going public – money for investment for growing the business, Facebook shares could be used as currency to buy the business
Acquisition of customers
“Acquisition” of the Instagram team
Backdoor into Twitter
Eliminate the threat of Instagram, but kept as a separate brand
Reputation – did customers like this? Facebook had a different profile to Instagram users.
The acquisition was a mixture of cash and stock – i.e. owners of Instagram received Facebook shares
4
What is a Merger/Acquisition
“Where two businesses combine this can take the form of either a merger or takeover”
Merger usually describes where two businesses are a similar size, takeover tends to refer a larger company acquiring control of a smaller business.
Structurally this involves one company acquiring the shares (ownership) of another business, but that is just the start as the businesses will need to integrate to make the merger a success
Explanation of the terms
5
Figure 12.2 The rationale for mergers
The economic rational for a merger:
A business has a current present value (we might use different techniques to calculate this)
It’s target also has a value
Combining the two gives a gain which means that the value of the combined business is greater than the sum of its parts (therefore it creates an increase in shareholder wealth)
6
Figure 12.3 Motives for mergers that enhance shareholder wealth
These are some of the wealth enhancing motives that can create an enhances business value following a merger
Benefits of scale – possibly better negotiation of deals with suppliers as the company becomes larger and more powerful. Also opportunity to reduce costs by combining back office functions, for example one HR team, one finance team
Eliminate competition – does this mean opportunity to charge higher prices, or if competition looks like it might take market share in future e.g. Instagram
Inefficient management – a company may not be performing to its full potential because of inefficient management. Therefore when the acquiring company buys it there may be a chance to fulfil untapped potential
Protect sources of supply – if a company relies on another for its supply e.g. a mobile phone company acquiring the company that supplies microchips
Complementary resources – e.g. combined goods or services that could be sold together to make a more valuable product
7
Other motives for mergers
Management interests and goals
Other motives for mergers
Diversification
Undervalued shares
Some other motives are diversification of the business e.g. to reduce risk of concentrating on one industry or product, management desire to build a larger business and if the company feels that the shares are undervalued
8
Who benefits?
The main players are:
Shareholders in the bidding business
Managers
Shareholders in the target business
Advisers
Assuming the economic calculations are correct then both sets of shareholders can benefit from a combined business as the value of the combined entity will be higher than the sum of the individual entities. The managers may now be the management team of a larger entity which can mean more responsibility or personal satisfaction – they are also often given a successful merger completion bonus or shares in the new entity. The whole process also needs a large set of advisers – accountants, tax advisers, lawyers which can be very lucrative for the adviser team
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Why do mergers fail?
Integration problems
Management neglect
Overpayment
Hidden problems
However not all mergers are successful – some reasons for failure include:
Overpayment – have the entities miscalculated their respective value or the value of the combined benefits? A miscalculation or incorrect cost of capital may mean that a merger could reduce rather than increase shareholder value.
Integration may not be successful – if the teams have different cultures or values or redundancies are required to achieve merger benefits this can lead to staff dissatisfaction and an impact on company trading. It may also be costly to integrate large computer systems.
A merger can take a huge amount of time and respouirces – there is a danger managers will take their eye of normal trading operations
There may be hidden problems in the company that were not picked up during the process of reviewing the company.
10
Do Acquiring Shareholders Benefit??
Wealth Destruction on a Massive Scale? A Study of Acquiring-Firm Returns in the Recent Merger Wave, MOELLER, SCHLINGEMANN, STULZ, JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LX, NO. 2 • APRIL 2005
Yearly aggregate dollar return of acquiring-firm shareholders
A video about Kraft takeover of Cadbury and some of the issues around it
12
Write down of acquisitions
When companies acquire another company they may be able to account for intangibles such as goodwill. However, they also need to review that value each year
Inflation, poor performance and weakened demand may mean that companies write down their acquisition value and take a hit to their accounts
2021 European Goodwill Impairment Study, Kroll
Successfully implementing a merger
Rapid integration
Incentivising managers
Early planning
Ensuring sales force fully engaged throughout
Retaining talented employees
Awareness of cultural issues
Here are some tips for successful mergers
14
Due diligence
May cover an examination of:
Legal obligations
Assets owned
Financial health
Strategic fit
During the merger planning process companies will undertake a due diligence. This is a review of the target to determine its financial health etc etc
15
Due diligence (Continued)
May cover an examination of:
Key relationships
Marketing and production
Market prospects
Other issues
The valuation of shares
Methods based on stock market information
Methods based on future cash flows
Methods based on the value of the business’s assets
The main methods include:
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
How do we value a target to decide how much to pay for it? If it is a listed company then the stock exchange provides a price for the company’s shares. However, it is more complicated if it is not listed. We might look at the company’s assets, but the accounts will show the assets at the price they were purchased at minus depreciation so this may not be accurate. It also does not take account of assets that cannot appear in accounts such as internally generated goodwill. Another way is to find a similar company listed on the stock exchange and use their ratios (e.g. earnings per share) to determine the value of a similar but unlisted company. Finally we can use methods based on the present value of future cash flows, just as we learned during the session on NPV of capital asset investments.
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One of the most talked about acquisitions of last year was Elon Musk’s takeover of Twitter.
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How does Twitter make money?
It can be interesting to consider his reasons for the takeover, but first it’s helpful to consider how Twitter makes money – does anyone know?
Answer – advertising and sales of data
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The takeover of Twitter
Video explaining the timeline of the Twitter acqusition
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Twitter performance and accounts
Source Twitter accounts 2021
Twitter has had only 2 years where it made profits – so why would Elon Musk want to buy it?
It’s revenue comes from advertising and data licencing
21
Some interesting points…
How was it funded? https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/how-will-elon-musk-pay-twitter-2022-10-07/
The price was $44bn and this was funded party via debt and equity with other investors and his cash from the sale of his Tesla shares
Can he come up with a business model to make Twitter more profitable? Paying for blue ticks?
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I don’t know who this will help, but I feel its my duty to add to the business school syllabus the importance of price negotiation with the famous horror author Stephen King
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Practical Aspects of a Takeover
Company A
Company B
Shareholders of A
Shareholders of B
Company A pays cash to the shareholders of company B in exchange for their shares.
Company A
Company B
Shareholders of A
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Practically for accountants there are three ways a takeover or merger can take place
Firstly Company A pays cash for the shares of company B – therefore the shareholders of B are no longer involved and walk away with cash
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Practical Aspects of a Takeover
Company A
Company B
Shareholders of A
Shareholders of B
2. Company A issues shares to the shareholders of company B in exchange for their shares.
Company A
Company B
Shareholders of A
Shareholders of B
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Secondly Company A gives shares in Company A to the shareholders in Company B in exchange for their shares in Company B, so now both groups of shareholders own the merged companies. This is what happened when Facebook acquired Instagram
25
Practical Aspects of a Takeover
Company A
Company B
Shareholders of A
Shareholders of B
3. Company A issues loan stock to the shareholders of company B in exchange for their shares.
Company A
Company B
Shareholders of A
Shareholders of B
Loan stock
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Thirdly, if the company does not have enough cash to buy the shares it can issue a loan note to the original shareholders of company B, so they become lenders rather than owners
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Protections
City Code on Takeovers and Mergers
Competition and Markets Authority
UK sales revenue>£70m
Combined business has 25% of market
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
One of the risk of mergers in that they can damage competition in the market. Theerfore many countries have mechanism that mergers over acertain size need to be approved by a regulatory body. In the UK the CMA need to approve mergers over this size.
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Video on how a VC fund values seed investment if you have time to show the first few minutes
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International Business
I wanted to finish the module with some thought about how the scale of global business can impact on financial decision making
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The Suez Canal
Video about the Suez canal being blocked – ask the class how they think this impacts supply chain and decisions about where to build factories and distribution centres in relation to customers
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When does a business need to consider international issues?
Overseas customer
Payment in a foreign currency
An overseas investor e.g. VC fund
Overseas supplier
Overseas employee
Planned market expansion
Acquisition of an overseas business
Sale to an overseas buyer
These days a business may need to consider international implications from Day 1. These are some of the areas that might be relevant:
An overseas customer – how will the product be delivered? What customs duties are there? Can the customer pay in local currency (if so exchange risk) or do you want them to pay in the company’s home currency (less attractive to customer)
If the business is trying to raise seed funding the first investor may be a foreign VC fund or investor. How does this impact how the business communicates its financial statements? Some US VC funds like to invest in a US company and so will require a change in structure of the company
Overseas supplier – same issues with currency transactions and the supply chain issues e.g. Suez
An employee might live overseas (or want to work overseas e.g. during the pandemic). This has local tax reporting requirements which can be costly and complicated.
Expansion – when you expand into a new territory there can be local complications e.g. it is very difficult to set up a business in China with foreign investors, there can be a lot of red tape, what registrations do you need to make, do you need local sales people, distribution centre. There can be cultural differences e.g. cultural customs in Japan can be unfamiliar to a UK or a US business
Over seas acquisitions or sale – how do you know you can rely on the financial statements? Currency and exchange control issues
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International considerations
Raw materials may only be available from overseas – how am I processing/transporting/storing
Manufacturing close to market reduces transport costs
Time/language differences with local market e.g. customer support
Different costs of resources e.g. overseas call centres
Diversification of risk
Cheaper finance
Managing supply chains
Local rules about doing business e.g. China
Local taxes, currency restrictions, import and export charges
There may be some compelling reasons to undertaking international operations –
33
This is a video about how some small businesses dealt with the issues of exporting to overseas customers
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Financial Decision Making and International Markets
Do I need a local entity?
How much does this cost to set up?
Managing foreign currency transactions
Do I need local input?
Local employees or contractors?
Management structure and controls
Computer systems
These are the kind of questions companies consider when setting up in an international market
35
What’s next?
MN7P13 for those who have completed all six modules – Steve Hills will be in touch about the classes
MN7030 for those still on the carousel, starting week commencing 30 January 2023
Edumundo results for London (Group 1)
In third place…
WatchIT (Team 5)
In second place…
The winners…
Voraus (Team 4)
Schweitzer (Team 3)
Edumundo results for Birmingham (Group 1 & 2)
In third place…
Metawatch (Team 10)
In second place…
The winners…
Bling (Team 14)
World of Watches (Team 8)
Edumundo results for Manchester (Group 2)
In third place…
ADAMS (Team 15)
In second place…
The winners…
Richard Mille (Team 16)
TITAN (Team 17)
Edumundo results for Liverpool (Group 3)
In third place…
PERFECT (Team 23)
In second place…
The winners…
Aara (Team 28)
Loisfoeribari (Team 22)
Edumundo results for Leeds (Group 4)
In third place…
Leec (Team 31)
In second place…
The winners…
Leef (Team 34)
The Better Catch (Team 35)
Edumundo results for Cardiff (Group 4 & 5)
In third place…
Carf (Team 41)
In second place…
The winners…
Cara (Team 36)
& Time (Team 43)
Edumundo results for Edinburgh (Group 5)
In third place…
Joobe (Allie)
In second place…
The winners…
Alpha (Team 46)
LEGENDS (Team 47)
Edumundo overall results
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making
3.2 Making Capital Investment Decisions (2)/ Financing a business
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
Learning Outcomes
Explain the modifications needed to the simple NPV decision rules where investment funds are limited or where there are competing projects with unequal lives
Discuss the nature of risk and explain why it is important in the context of investment decisions
Describe the main approaches to the measurement of risk and discuss their limitations
Divisible projects
Earlier we considered projects that could not be divided up i.e. the decision was whether to go ahead with a project or not go ahead. We did not consider whether it was possible to do half a project.
The rules for NPV were:
If NPV is positive, accept the project
If you have competing projects accept the one with the higher NPV.
However, we might have a situation where we have one project that will cost £7m, another than will cost £5m but only £10m to spend. If we use the decision rule above we choose the project with the higher NPV and discard the other.
What if we could divide them up?
Example
I have £12m available to spend on a capital investment project. Three potential projects have been identified and the NPV calculated. Which should I choose if the product cannot be divided?
Ask students – hopefully they will identify that project Z gives the highest NPV and so if the project cannot be divided up, the £12m should be spend on the one with the highest NPV.
5
What about if we can do a “bit” of another project?
If we rank according to NPV we might decide to do all of Project Z with £11m (generating NPV of £3.6m) and then use the remaining £1m for Project Y (NPV would be 1/9 of the total NPV of £3.2m = £0.4m) so total NPV is £4m. Is this the best outcome?
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Where projects are divisible, managers should seek to maximise the present value per £ of scarce resource
PI =
PV of future cash flows Initial outlay
Profitability index (PI)
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A better way of calculating how much to do of divisible project is using the Profitability Index. This calculates how much PV of future cash flows is generated per £ of initial investment.
7
Example
I have £12m available to spend on a capital investment project. Three potential projects have been identified and the NPV calculated. Which should I choose if the product cannot be divided?
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Ask students – hopefully they will identify that project Z gives the highest NPV and so if the project cannot be divided up, the £12m should be spend on the one with the highest NPV.
8
Example
Profitability Index = £10.8m/£8m =1.35
Profitability Index = £12.2m/£9m =1.36
Profitability Index = £14.6m/£11m =1.33
We calculate the Profitibiility Index (PI) by dividing the total future PV cash flows by the original outlay. As project Y has the highest PI we should use the funds here, then Project X and finally project Z.
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Example
(2) Use remaining £3m on Project X = 3/8 x £2.8m = £1.05m
(1) Use £9m on Project Y = NPV of £3.2m
(3) Total NPV generated = £3.2m+£1.05m = £4.25m
By prioritising Project Y then project X as a result of calculating the profitability index the company can generate a better result of £4.25m
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Comparing projects with unequal lives
Equivalent-annual-annuity approach
Shortest-common-period-of-time approach
Two possible approaches
Both methods should provide the same solution
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
A further complication might be where we need to compare projects with unequal lives. There are two methods we can use here that should give the same result.
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Example
Cash flow | Discount at 10% | Present Value | |
Machine A: | |||
Initial outlay (Year 0) | (100) | 1.00 | (100) |
Year 1 | 50 | 0.91 | 45.5 |
Year 2 | 70 | 0.83 | 58.1 |
NPV | 3.6 | ||
Machine B: | |||
Initial outlay (Year 0) | (140) | 1.00 | (140) |
Year 1 | 60 | 0.91 | 54.6 |
Year 2 | 80 | 0.83 | 66.4 |
Year 3 | 32 | 0.75 | 24.0 |
NPV | 5.0 |
The company has to make a decision between these two machines. Machine B produces a higher NPV, but over a longer period. Machine A will need to be replaced after Year 2. How do we decide which option to choose?
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Figure 5.3 NPV for Machine a using a common period of time
Years | NPV | Discount factor | Adjusted NPV at Year 0 |
Cycle 1 at Year 0 | £3.6m | 1 | £3.6m |
Cycle 2 at Year 2 | £3.6m | 0.83 | £3m |
Cycle 3 at Year 4 | £3.6m | 0.68 | £2.5m |
Total | £9.1m | ||
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
The first way to consider this is to calculate the NPV over a common period of time. Machine A runs from Year 0 to Year 2 and produced an NPV of £3.6m when we discount it back to Year 0. Assuming this pattern in repeated, the machine would be replaced for Year 2 to 4 and generate a further NPV of £3.6m when we discount it back to the start of the cycle in Year 2, then replaced again for years 4-6 to generate an NPV of £3.6m when we discount it back to the start of the machine cycle in year 4. We then need to discount these two cycles back to year 0 and that gives us a total NPV of £9.1 for 6 years use of the machines.
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Figure 5.3 NPV for Machine a using a common period of time
Years | NPV | Discount factor | Adjusted NPV at Year 0 |
Cycle 1 at Year 0 | £5m | 1 | £5m |
Cycle 2 at Year 3 | £5m | 0.75 | £3.8m |
Total | £8.8m | ||
£5m
0
1
3
2
4
5
6
£5m
£3.8m
£8.8m
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Doing the same for Machine 2, this has a 3 year cycle so we go through this twice in order to get to the common period of 6 years. For years 0-3 the NPV discounted back to year 0 is £5m. For periods 3-6 the NPV discounted back to Year 3 is £5m, an therefore we discount it again back tot Year 0 to give us £3.8m. Overall this project has an NPV of £8.8m over a six year life. Given the choice between the projects we should therefore choose Machine A as the equivalent NPV over a six year period is £9.1m
14
Equivalent-annual-annuity approach
For machine A: £3.6m x = £2.07m
Equivalent Annual Annuity = NPV x
For machine B: £5m x = £2.01m
Therefore Machine A has the higher Equivalent Annual Annuity and should be chosen
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
An alternative way to approach this question is to calculate what the equivalent annual annuity would be relating to the project or what does it represent in terms of constant annual cash flows. To do this we use this formula shown on the slide. Using a discount rate of 10% (represented by i), again Machine A represents the higher EAA and should therefore be chosen.
15
Investment appraisal and risk
The size of the investment made
The long timescales involved
Risk is important because of:
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Another aspect of investment appraisal is risk. We need to consider the risk of things not working out as they have in our prjections and we need to understand the risk profile because of the long timescales and the size of the investment.
16
Methods of dealing with risk in investment appraisal
Scenario analysis
Risk-adjusted discount rate
Simulations
Portfolio approach
Sensitivity analysis
Expected values
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
These are some of the methods we can use to assess risk in an investment
Sensitivity analysis involves changing one variable at a time (e.g. change in sales by 10%) to see the effect on NPV
Scenario analysis involves changing all variables and having usually three scenarios – best case, worst case and most likely (we did these two in our session on projections)
We may adjust the discount rate we use according to the risk profile e.g. an inherently more risky project might have a higher discount rate to reflect that risk
We can apply percentage likelihood of each outcome occurring to calculate an Expected Nep Present Value
We can use more complicated software simulations to determine outcome
We can consider diversification of our investment projects into a portfolio to reduce overall risk in the company.
17
Figure 5.11 Relationship between risk and return
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Generally as the risk of a project increases the required return of that project also increases.
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What types or sources of finance are available to companies to fund capital investment?
Capital Investment projects often need large sums of money to finance them, so alongside considering the viability of the investment project we also need to think about where the company can raise this finance and what form it might take. Ask the students to give ideas about what sources of finance are available to companies when considering capital investment projects. Hopefully they will be able to identify debt and equity, although they may also talk about the entity providing the finance (e.g. venture capital, crowdfunding etc)
This section moves onto types of finace – you may not be able to get through all of this section but that’s not a problem as we continue on the same topic in session 4.1.
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Figure 6.1 The major external sources of finance
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
The main sources of finance can first be divided into external and internal sources. We are going to look at external first. This is finance that involves going outside of the company to a third party. It can be divided into long term (over 1 year) and short term (less than one year) and into two key types of finance – debt and equity and we will look at each one in turn.
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The structure of a company
Company X
Management
Employees
Banks
Customers
Suppliers
General Public
Shareholders
A quick reminder – a company is a sperate legal entity. It is not the same as it’s management team – they have a contract to provide services to the company. It is also not the same as it’s shareholders – they own the shares of slices that the company is divided up into. It is also not the banks – this is a completely separate third party who has agreed to provide the company with money for a stated period of time under a contractual arrangement.
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Ordinary shares
Looking first at share ownership, the most common type of shares are ordinary shares. There are a number of properties of ordinary shares, explained above.
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No fixed right to a dividend
More volatile market price
“Residual”
High risk, therefore relatively high rate of return expected
High upside potential
Control/owners of the business
Preference shares
An alternative to ordinary shares in preference shares. These are much less common nowadays but the key difference is that they had a fixed right to a dividend but usually not voting rights and little upside (this residual goes to the ordinary shareholders who are bearing more risk).
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Fixed right to a dividend & “first slice”
Less volatile market price
Rights documented in constitution documents
Lower risk than ord shares, therefore lower return
Little upside potential
Usually no voting rights.
Borrowing/Loan Capital
The other key long term finance option is a bank loan. This is completely different to shares as it is a contractual rather than an ownership relationship. It is low risk from the perspective of the bank as there is a right to interest and if the company is in trouble the bank loans take priority over the shareholders. There is little upside if the company does well and no voting rights.
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Contractual right to interest
May be traded
Contractual obligation
Lower risk than shares, therefore lower return
No upside potential beyond more security
May use loan covenants or securities
Figure 6.2 The risk/return characteristics of sources of long-term finance
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
From the perspective of the person providing the finance this is the risk profile – loans have the lower risk going up to ordinary shares which carry the highest risk because they have no fixed or contractual right to a return and are the lowest priority if the company fails. They do however get the benefit of all of the upside if the company performs well.
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Public v Private Companies
Company X
Management
Employees
Banks
Customers
Suppliers
General Public?
Shareholders
General Public
It is worth clarifying the difference between public and private companies. Both public and private companies are owned by shareholders, but in the case of public companies those shares can be traded freely among the general publiuc.
26
Public or Private Company
A private company (in the UK a Ltd) is held privately, usually by founders or other private individual investors.
The general public cannot buy or sell shares in Limited
May invite specific people to invest (e.g. a Private Equity Fund or Business Angel)
Does not appear on a Stock Exchange
A public company (in the UK a Plc) has sold some or all of its shares to the general public by way of an Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Listed on a stock exchange
Public can buy and sell shares on investment platforms
Has a higher level of scrutiny
Explanation of the terms
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Public or Private Company
Public companies tend to be larger and have more access to funding, but there are some very large private companies
28
What is the function of a stock market?
29
The Stock Exchange
Secondary market
Primary market
Two important roles
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
A publicly traded company is listed on a stock market. The market has two functions – firstly for the company to raise new capital (the first time it does this on the stock market is known as an Initial public Offering or IPO). The second function is then to provide liquidity for the shares – shareholders can buy and sell their shares as they wish, without involvement of the company. It is worth clarifying that when individuals buy and sell shares among themselves this does not generate new finance for the company. It does however indicate the share price – if shares are in demand the price rises and therefore the value of the company increases.
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What is an IPO (video)? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v =l4HMCr5roAM
What is an IPO (video)?
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Stock Exchange listing
Advantages for a business
Enables other businesses to be acquired by shares rather than cash
Shares valued in an efficient manner
Broadens investor base/exit for founders
Raises profile
Funds acquired at lower cost
Easier to raise funds
Can help attract and retain employees (share incentives)
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Self explanatory advantages – I like to use the example of Facebook which was listing at the same time as buying Instagram so the listing gave a valuation to Facebook and allowed it to use its shares as currency in the acquisition of Instagram
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Stock Exchange listing (Continued)
Increased vulnerability to takeover
Close monitoring of actions and decisions
Increased regulatory burden
Cost (including management time)
Disadvantages for a business
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UK IPO Journey (https://pwc.blogs.com/deals/2015/07/ipo_journey.html)
This is a PwC flier that explain the stages of a company’s IPO journey
35
What’s Next…
7.30pm 8.30pm – Business Simulation Round 5
8.30pm – Finish!
For Thursday (Groups 1 & 2) & Friday (Groups 3, 4 & 5) …
GROUP PRESENTATIONS!!
36
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MN7029: Financial Decision Making
2.2 Cost behaviour, pricing and budgets
Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
Learning Outcomes
Define and distinguish different categories of cost
Understand how a fixed cost and a variable cost behave and deduce the break even point
Understand the benefits and limitations of using marginal contribution analysis and break even point
Discuss the impact for managers in decision making
Describe operation of full absorption costing and Activity Based Costing
Define a budget and show how budgets and strategy are related.
The Decision Making Process
4. Develop short term plans/budgets
3. Select option and consider long term plans
5. Implement the decisions
6. Review and monitor outcomes of decision
7. Act on differences from plan
2. Consider options available
1. Set aims and objective
What is the purpose of management accounting?
Allocate costs between costs of goods sold and inventory for reporting
Provide date for management decision making
Information for planning and performance review
Definition of cost
The amount of resources, usually measured in monetary terms, sacrificed to achieve a particular objective
For example:
A hotel uses resources such as food to make breakfast, labour to clean rooms and electricity to provide light to achieve the objective of providing a comfortable place to stay for customers
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Examples of costs
Fixed and variable – we will discuss next
Direct and indirect – can it be exclusively identified with a cost object or is it an overhead?
Sunk Costs – costs incurred as a result of a past decision that cannot be reversed
Opportunity cost – benefit that is lost as a result of a choice of one course of action rather than another
Behaviour of costs
Helps managers to determine:
How many units to break even point – the number of items sold where costs are equivalent to revenue and therefore there is no profit or loss
Effect of reducing/increasing sales price
Effect of an increase or reduction in volume of sales
Effect of a incurring an additional cost of a marketing campaign or
How best to pay people
Two types of cost
The value of an opportunity forgone
Opportunity cost
A cost already incurred
Historic cost
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Figure 7.1 Decision flow diagram for identifying relevant costs
Relevant cost
Irrelevant cost
Does the cost relate to the objectives of the business?
No
Does the cost vary with the decision?
Does the cost relate to the future?
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
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The behaviour of costs
Remain constant (fixed) when changes occur to the volume of activity
Vary according to the volume of activity
Costs may be classified as:
Fixed
Variable
The value of costs incurred in producing one unit.
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Fixed Costs
Fixed cost: total remains constant in proportion to the level of activity, within a relevant range (per unit decreases)
For example: Rent
Salaries
Advertising
Example: I have rented a factory for £5,000 per month to make my cupcakes. If cake production goes up 10%, rent does not change.
Production
Cost
Figure 7.3 Graph of rent cost against the volume of activity
Rent cost (£)
Volume of activity
R
0
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Variable Costs
Variable cost: total changes in proportion to the level of activity (unit cost remains constant)
For example: Number of units produced
Hours worked
Rooms occupied
Example: If I am making cake and each cake needs 200g of flour then if cake production goes up 10%, so does the quantity and total cost of flour.
Cost
Production
Figure 7.5 Graph of total cost against the volume of activity
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Graph of total sales revenue against the volume of activity
Total sales £
Volume of activity
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Figure 7.5 Graph of total cost against the volume of activity
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Figure 7.6 Break-even chart
Break even point:
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Figure 7.7 Break-even and load factors at Ryanair
Load factor
Break-even point
%
60
40
20
80
0
100
Per cent
2013
70
82
2014
72
83
2015
72
88
2016
72
93
2017
73
94
Source: Based on information contained in Ryanair Holdings plc, Annual Report 2017.
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19
Why does a manager need to know which costs are variable and which are fixed?
Prediction of costs
Traditional accounts separate costs on a functional rather than behavioural basis
The Contribution Approach
Start with sales
Deduct variable costs
Contribution margin
Example CVP
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £2,400 |
Contribution margin shows the amount available to cover fixed costs and then provide profits.
If Contribution margin does not cover fixed costs the company makes a loss
CVP and Break even
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (600 cakes) | £6,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £2,400 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £3,600 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £0 |
To reach break even point, the company must make enough contribution margin to cover fixed costs
Since our cakes have a contribution margin of £6 per unit and fixed costs of £3,600 we can calculate that the break even point is 600 cakes (£3,600/£6)
CVP Chart
Units sold
£ Costs and Revenue
Example CVP
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (601 cakes) | £6,010 | £10 |
Variable costs | £2,404 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £3,606 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £6 |
Above break even, each sale will increase profit by the contribution margin – so if we sell 601 cakes: profit = contribution margin = £6
Managers use this to work out budgets simply at different levels of activity – you just need to multiply the units over break even point by the contribution margin per unit to give the profit
Cost Volume Profit Analysis recap
Total cost (or full cost) = Fixed costs + variable costs
Contribution margin = Sales revenue per unit – variable costs per unit
Break Even Units =
Examples of how to use CVP
Break even point = = = 600 cakes
No of cakes sold to achieve profit of £5,000 = = = 1,433 cakes
Additional profit from sale of an extra 100 cakes above break even = 100 × £6 = £600
What price do we sell cake at if we want to make a profit of £5,000 at 600 cakes? Total revenue to get £5,000 profit would be Fixed costs (£3,600) plus variable costs (600 × £4 = £2,400) plus required profit (£5,000) = £11,000. Divided by number of cakes (600) gives a selling price of £18
Contribution Margin Ratio
Total | Percentage of sales | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | 100 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | 40 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | 60 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £2,400 |
Contribution margin can also be calculated as a % of sales:
Profit = (Sales Revenue x contribution margin) – Fixed costs
Application of CVP
Once we know contribution margin, managers can use this in decision making, for example modelling the impact on profit of:
A change in fixed costs and sales volume (e.g. an advertising campaign)
A change in variable costs and sales volume (e.g. using higher quality raw materials)
A change in fixed cost, sales price and sales volume
A change in variable costs, fixed costs and sales volume
A change in sales price
You can also use it for target profit analysis
Margin of safety = Budgeted or actual sales – Break even sales
Margin of safety % =
Practice question
Question 1: You decide to reduce variable costs by using a lower quality ingredients with a per unit cost of £2 but this will cause sales to fall to 700 cakes – should you do it?
Question 2: You decide to undertake an advertising campaign which will cost £1,000 but will increase sales to 1,200 units. Should you do it?
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £2,400 |
Practice question
Q1: You decide to reduce variable costs by using a lower quality ingredients with a per unit cost of £2 but this will cause sales to fall to 700 cakes – should you do it?
New contribution margin = 700 x £8 = £5,600
Present contribution margin = 1,000 x £6 = £6,000
Decrease in total contribution margin = £400
Q2: You decide to undertake an advertising campaign which will cost £1,000 but will increase sales to 1,200 units. Should you do it?
Incremental contribution margin = £6 x 200 = £1,200
Increase in fixed costs = £1,000
Increase in profit = £200
Figure 7.10 The effect of operating gearing
Volume of output
Profit
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Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What is the best trade off between fixed and variable costs
E.g. buying in components rather than making yourself, automating by machinery rather than labour costs
In my cupcake factory I have the choice of using a individuals to make the cakes (high variable cost, lower fixed cost) or a machine to (low variable cost, high fixed cost)
As you can see at sales of 1,000 I get the same profit whatever I choose.
Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 | £10,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 | £2,000 | £2 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 | £8,000 | £8 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
Profit | £2,400 | £2,400 |
Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What happens if there is a 10% increase in sales?
Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
Sales (1,100 cakes) | £11,000 | £10 | £11,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,400 | £4 | £2,200 | £2 |
Contribution margin | £6,600 | £6 | £8,800 | £8 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
Profit | £3,000 | £3,200 |
For a 10% increase in sales, option 1 gives a 25% increase in profit, option 2 gives a 33% increase in profit.
Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What about a 10% decrease in sales?
Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
Sales (900 cakes) | £9,000 | £10 | £9,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £3,600 | £4 | £1,800 | £2 |
Contribution margin | £5,400 | £6 | £7,200 | £8 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
Profit | £1,800 | £1,600 |
For a 10% decrease in sales, option 1 gives a 25% decrease in profit, option 2 gives a 33% decrease in profit.
Higher proportion of fixed costs mean a higher break even point and more profit volatility – more upside when things go well but also more downside…
Operating leverage
The degree of operating leverage shows how profit moves when sales move.
If leverage is high, profit will move proportionately more than if it is low
Operating leverage =
Option A – operating leverage at 1,000 sales = 2.5
Option B – operating leverage at 1,000 sales = 3.33
Figure 7.8a Break-even chart – low gearing
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Figure 7.8b Break-even chart – high gearing
Revenue/Cost (£000)
1
Fixed cost
5
4
3
2
Volume of activity (number of baskets)
0
100
400
300
200
500
6
Total costs
Break-even point
Total revenue
LOSS
PROFIT
600
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Margin of Safety
How “safe” is a business in relation to changes in sales volume?
Margin of safety in £revenue = estimated sales revenue – breakeven sales revenue
Margin of safety % = x 100
Figure 7.9 Ryanair’s margin of safety
Margin of safety
Operating profit
0
Margin of safety (as a percentage of BEP)
25
30
15
5
1000
600
400
200
0
1600
Operating profit (in millions of euros)
2013
718
17
2014
659
15
2015
22
1043
800
1200
1400
2016
1460
29
2017
29
1534
20
10
Source: Derived from information contained in Ryanair Holdings plc 2013 Annual Report.
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39
Examples of business with different gearing
Jones, T. (2012) Strategic managerial accounting: hospitality, tourism and events applications. Oxford, U.K.: Goodfellow p42
Weaknesses of break-even analysis
Three general problems
Non-linear relationships
Stepped fixed cost
Multi-product businesses
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Decision making
Marginal cost – the cost of producing one more unit
Marginal analysis – only costs and revenues that vary with decision are considered, so fixed costs excluded.
Uses
Deciding whether to apply a discount to a particular order
Scare resources – calculate the contribution per unit
Deciding whether to buy a component or make in house
Considering whether to close departments
Why do we need to know the full cost of a product?
Figure 8.1 Uses of full cost by managers
Assessing relative efficiency
Uses of full cost
Exercising control
Pricing and output decisions
Assessing performance
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Full costing
Earlier we looked top down:
Sales | X |
Variable costs | (X) |
Contribution to fixed costs | X |
Now we look bottom up:
Direct costs | X |
Allocation of indirect costs | X |
Total cost of one unit | X |
Direct and indirect cost
All other elements of cost, that is, those that cannot be directly measured in respect of each particular unit of output
Categories of cost
Direct cost
Cost that can be identified with specific cost units – the effect of the cost can be measured in respect of each particular output
Indirect cost or overheads
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Figure 8.2 Percentage of full cost contributed by direct and indirect cost
Indirect cost
Direct cost
60
40
20
80
0
Percentage of full cost
All 176 businesses
Manufacturing businesses (91)
Service and retail businesses (85)
69
31
75
25
49
51
Source: Al-Omiri, M. and Drury, C. (2007) ‘A survey of factors influencing the choice of product costing systems in UK organizations’, Management Accounting Research, December, pp. 399–424.
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Figure 8.3 The relationship between direct cost and indirect cost
Full cost of the job
Direct cost of the job
Appropriate share of indirect cost (overheads)
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Why is this a problem?
If we produce one homogenous product (e.g. identical cupcakes) we could just split the overhead over units produced
E.g In my cupcake factory the overhead is £20,000 and I produce 10,000 cakes I could allocate £2 to every cake to determine price.
But if my factory produces cupcakes and cars and I produce 10,000 cakes and 500 cars with a total overhead of £500,000, is it fair to allocate £48 to each cupcake and each car?
Figure 8.5 The relationship between direct, indirect, variable and fixed costs of a particular job
Total (or full) cost of a particular job
Fixed cost
Indirect cost (overheads)
Direct cost
Variable cost
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VARIABLE
FIXED
DIRECT (Traced to a product)
INDIRECT
Raw materials; commissions
Electricity for a whole factory
Some labour; rent for a production plant
Head office rent and salaries
Insert footer / references if needed
Traditional full costing process
How do we assign an indirect cost to individual differing units?
Full costing sees overheads as a service to the end cost unit (e.g. factory overhead provides a service to the end product of keeping the machine operating, housing the product etc).
We need to choose something measurable on which to apportion the overhead
This could be
Labour hours
Machine hours
Physical space
Number of employees
And so on…
Budgeting
Figure 9.1 The planning and control process
Identify and assess strategic options
Revise plans (and budgets) if necessary
Undertake a position analysis
Establish mission and objectives
Select strategic options and formulate long-term (strategic) plans
Prepare budgets
Perform and collect information on actual performance
Respond to variances and exercise control
Identify variances between planned (budgeted) and actual performance
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Budgeting
Plan the operations for the year – takes an organisational objective and quantifies it.
Measure performance against targets (control)
Coordination of different parts of the business
Communicates expectations to unit managers
Helps efficient allocation of resources
Motivation to achieve organization’s goals
Helps to control and authorize the ongoing activities
Evaluate performance of individual managers
Figure 9.3 The interrelationship of operating budgets
Finished inventories budget
Production budget
Raw materials inventories budget
Overheads budget
Trade receivables budget
Trade payables budget
Capital expenditure budget
Raw materials purchases budget
Sales budget
Direct labour budget
Cash budget
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An example of a budget – the cash budget
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
Receipts
Receivables 60 52 55 55 60 55
Payments
Payables (30) (30) (31) (26) (35) (31)
Salaries and wages (10) (10) (10) (10) (10) (10)
Electricity (14) (9)
Other overheads (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2)
Van purchase (11)
Total payments (42) (42) (68) (38) (47) (52)
Cash surplus 18 10 (13) 17 13 3
Cash balance 30 40 27 44 57 60
Opening balance 12 30 40 27 44 57
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An example of the inventories budget
Jan £000 | Feb £000 | Mar £000 | Apr £000 | May £000 | June £000 | |
Opening balance | 30 | 30 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Purchases | 30 | 31 | 26 | 35 | 31 | 32 |
Inventories used | (30) | (31) | (31) | (35) | (31) | (32) |
Closing balance | 30 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
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Budget variances
Original budget | Actual | |
Output (production and sales) | 1,000 units | 900 units |
£ | £ | |
Sales revenue | 100,000 | 92,000 |
Direct materials | (40,000) | (36,900) (37,000m) |
Direct labour | (20,000) | (17,500) (2,150 hr) |
Fixed overheads | (20,000) | (20,700) |
Operating profit | 20,000 | 16,900 |
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Flexible budgets
A more valid comparison can be made between the budget (using the flexed figures) and the actual results.
Original budget | Flexed budget | Actual | |
Output (production and sales) | 1,000 units | 900 units | 900 units |
£ | £ | £ | |
Sales revenue | 100,000 | 90,000 | 92,000 |
Direct materials | (40,000) | (36,000) (36,000m) | (36,900) (37,000m) |
Direct labour | (20,000) | (18,000) (2,250 hr) | (17,500) (2,150 hr) |
Fixed overheads | (20,000) | (20,000) | (20,700) |
Operating profit | 20,000 | 16,000 | 16,900 |
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Figure 9.6 Relationship between the budgeted and actual profit
equals
minus
Actual profit
plus
All adverse variances
All favourable variances
Budgeted profit
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Behavioural issues of budgetary control
Demanding, yet achievable, budget targets can motivate more than less demanding ones
Unrealistically demanding targets can adversely effect managers’ performance
Budgets can improve job satisfaction and performance
Participation of managers in setting their targets can improve motivation and performance
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Making Budgetary Control Effective
A serious attitude taken to the system.
Clear demarcation between areas of managerial responsibility.
Budget targets that are challenging yet achievable.
Established data collection, analysis and reporting routines.
Reports aimed at individual managers, rather than general-purpose documents.
Fairly short reporting periods.
Timely variance reports.
Action being taken to get operations back under control if they are shown to be out of control.
What’s Next…
7.30pm to 8.30pm – Review round 1 and prepare round 2.
8.30pm – Finish!
Next time:
Business Simulation round 2 submitted by 3pm Wednesday 14th December
Review Weblearn for extended learning questions
Read Atrill Ch 10
Consider: You run a business producing health food bars and selling them to supermarkets wholesale and customers online. What are the key elements of working capital management that you are concerned with?
"Buying goods on credit can be a good source of finance so it is good financial management practice to delay payment for as long as possible." Do you agree with this statement?
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making for Managers
Session 3.1
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Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
Learning Outcomes
Explain the nature and importance of investment decision making
Identify and evaluate the four main investment appraisal methods
Use each of the four methods to reach a decision on a particular investment opportunity
Explain the key steps in the investment decision-making process
Maximising Shareholder Wealth
£1m funds available
Bank – interest rate ?%
Investment – return ??%
Dividend – shareholders decide where to invest… ??%
A reminder – the role of the management is to maximise shareholder wealth. In order to do so excess funds either need to be invested in the bank, re-invested in the business in profitable opportunities or returned to the shareholders via dividend so they can make the decision where to invest for maximum return. To day we are looking at the second of these – investigating whether reinvestment in capital projects is going to achieve the aim of maximising the wealth of the shareholders so that the management team can decide whether to proceed.
4
What is a capital investment project?
Ask the class to see if any have ideas about what we are talking about
5
What is a capital investment?
Using money to buy fixed assets, or otherwise expand the business
Not day to day operational expenses (working capital)
Capital investment is using money to buy fixed assets or expand the business in some way (e.g. undertake research in to a new product). It is not the working capital or every day expenses of the business
6
Sources: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-55823575
https://www.insidermedia.com/news/midlands/new-1.7m-starbucks-site-sold
Some capital investment projects take years and years and cost huge amounts of money – building this nuclear plant is a capital investment project and will take 10 years and cost between £22 and £23bn. Starbucks opening a new coffee shop is also a capital investment project but only takes 6 months and costs £2.7m which is being funded from the company’s own available cash.
7
The nature & importance of investment decisions
Large amounts of resources are often involved
Relatively long timescales are involved
Often difficult or expensive to bale out of an investment once undertaken
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Why are these decisions important?
8
Figure 4.1 Annual and cumulative cash flows over time for the development of a successful therapeutic drug
Source: Adapted from: ‘Biotech Economics and Valuation’ Massachusetts Biotechnology Council and L.E.K. Consulting, August 2009, p. 3. Reprinted with permission from L.E.K. Consulting. L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting, LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners.
© 2016 L.E.K. Consulting, LLC. All rights reserved.
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Research into new drugs is another example of a capital investment project which takes years. This example shows expenditure on drug research over 6 years before product launch and then another 4-5 years after the before the drug breaks even
9
Capital Budgeting
Investopedia video on capital budgeting
10
Figure 4.8 Managing the investment decision
How does this fit into decision making? Companies will go through this process:
Determine how much cash is available
Identify projects that could be undertaken
Get more detail on each of the potential projects
11
Figure 4.8 Managing the investment decision (Continued)
4. Use the tools we are about to look at to evaluate and rate the projects
5. Make a decision on which one(s) to proceed
6. Monitor the budget and control the project
12
Investment appraisal methods
Four methods of evaluation
Accounting rate of return (ARR)
Payback period (PP)
Net present value (NPV)
Internal rate of return (IRR)
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These are the 4 methods we use to evaluate the projects – we will look at each one in turn
13
Accounting rate of return (ARR)
Average annual operating profit Average investment to earn that profit
ARR =
× 100%
Average annual operating profit Average investment to earn that profit
ARR =
× 100%
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The first is a traditional accounting method of project evaluation. This is the Accounting Rate of Return – it takes the average operating profit for each year of the project and divides by the average investment. This is then multiplied to give a percentage return. It is very similar to Return on Capital Employed which we looked at in financial ratios
14
ARR example
Year | Cost | Operating profit |
Now (Year 0) | (160,000) | |
Year 1 | 20,000 | |
Year 2 | 40,000 | |
Year 3 | 60,000 | |
Year 4 | 60,000 | |
Total | 180,000 |
I am deciding whether to buy a new machine for £160,000
In years 1 to 4 it generates the profit to the left totalling £180,000. On average this is £45,000 per year
Average investment is (Cost of machine + any disposal value )/2 which is £80,000
x 100 = 56.25%
A machine costs £160k. If I buy it now (which we refer to as Year 0) I will be able to generate profits for the next four years as per this table. The total profits generated are £180k and if we divide by 4 we get an average profit per year of £45k. The average investment is calculated by the value of the machine at the start (£160k) and the value at the end (in this case there is no scrap value so 0) and finding the average i.e. add together and divide by 2 (£80k). Finally the ARR is calculated by dividing the average profit by the average investment and multiplying it by 100. This project has an ARR of 56.25%, meaning a return of £56 earned on the average capital. This in itself does not tell us however whether we should proceed with the project.
15
ARR decision rule
Where competing projects exceed the minimum rate, the one with the highest ARR should be selected
For a project to be acceptable, it must achieve at least a minimum target ARR
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In order to decide whether to proceed we need a decision rule. In the case of ARR, companies need to set a target. If the project ARR exceeds the target it can go ahead. In the case of 2 projects, you would choose the one with the largest ARR.
16
Problems with ARR
Ignores the timing of cash flows
Use of average investment
Use of accounting profit
Competing investments
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Problems:
Uses accounting profit rather than cash (which is more subjective) and ignores the timing – we will talk much more on timing issues later
It also has uses average investment which is not a real cash flow and doesn’t necessarily help us choose between competing investmnets
17
Payback period (PP)
Payback period (PP)
Time taken for initial investment to be repaid out of project net cash inflows
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Payback period is even more simple – it calculates how long it takes for the cash spent on the project to be repaid by the cash flows coming in on the project.
18
Example 4.1 (Atrill p150)
Time | £’000 | Cumulative | |
Immediately | Cost of machine | (100) | |
In 1 year | Net cash inflow | 20 | |
In 2 years | Net cash inflow | 40 | |
In 3 years | Net cash inflow | 60 | |
In 4 Years | Net cash inflow | 60 | |
In 5 years | Net cash inflow | 20 |
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The easiest way to calculate this is to present it like this. In Year 0 we have a cash outflow as we have purchased a machine for £100k. We then get cash coming in from the project over the next 5 years. We add a cumulative column to see how long it takes tp offset the cash out.
Ask class to fill in a couple of cumulatives
19
Example 4.1 (Atrill p150)
Time | £’000 | Cumulative | |
Immediately | Cost of machine | (100) | (100) |
In 1 year | Net cash inflow | 20 | (80) |
In 2 years | Net cash inflow | 40 | (40) |
In 3 years | Net cash inflow | 60 | 20 |
In 4 Years | Net cash inflow | 60 | 80 |
In 5 years | Net cash inflow | 20 | 100 |
Payback Period is 3 years. If we received the £60k evenly over year 3 (i.e. £5k per month) it would take 8 months to receive £40k and PP is therefore more accurately 2 years and 8 months
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20
PP decision rule
If competing projects have payback periods shorter than maximum payback period, the one with the shortest payback period is selected
Project should have a shorter payback period than the required maximum payback period
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As with ARR the payback period itself doesn't give us an answer whether tp proceed with the project. We need a decision rule. Companies need to get a target payback period and provided the project payback period is shorter we can proceed. If we have two competing projects we would choose the one with the shorter period.
21
Problems with PP
Does not take timing of cash flows fully into account
Ignores cash flows after PP
Does not take risk fully into account
Not related to wealth maximisation objective
Arbitrarily determined target payback period
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This also has problems.
The first two are illustrated over the next slides
It is subjective because the company chooses the target and it doesn’t take into account risk – e.g. one project may have a shorter PP but be riskier.
It is not directly related to wealth maixmisation
22
Time | Project 1 £’000 | Project 2 £’000 | Project 3 £’000 | |
Immediately | Cost of machine | (200) | (200) | (200) |
In 1 years time | Cash inflow | 70 | 20 | 70 |
In 2 years time | Cash inflow | 60 | 20 | 100 |
In 3 years time | Cash inflow | 70 | 160 | 30 |
In 4 years time | Cash inflow | 80 | 30 | 200 |
In 5 Years time | Cash inflow | 90 | 30 | 460 |
Comparing 3 projects with Payback Period (p158)
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Take these three projects as an example. All have an initial outlay of £200k and generate cash flows as shown in the table
23
Time | Project 1 £’000 | Cumulative | Project 2 £’000 | Cumulative | Project 3 £’000 | Cumulative | |
Immediately | Cost of machine | (200) | (200) | (200) | (200) | (200) | (200) |
In 1 years time | Cash inflow | 70 | (130) | 20 | (180) | 70 | (130) |
In 2 years time | Cash inflow | 60 | (70) | 20 | (160) | 100 | (30) |
In 3 years time | Cash inflow | 70 | 0 | 160 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
In 4 years time | Cash inflow | 80 | 30 | 200 | |||
In 5 Years time | Cash inflow | 90 | 30 | 460 |
Comparing 3 projects with Payback Period (p158)
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If we do the payback period calculation, all have a payback period of 3 years so we are indifferent as to which one we would chose.
24
Figure 4.2 Cumulative cash flows for each project in Activity 4.6
Source: Adapted from Atrill, P. and McLaney E. (2009) Accounting: An Introduction, 5th edn, Pearson Education.
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However if we present the payback like this we can see that project 3 has a much larger payout after the payback period – this is effectively ignored by the payback period method. Also Project 2 has most of the back in period 3, whereas project 1 and 3 have a more even spread. This problem with the payback period method leads us to consider the time value of money.
25
Both methods assume that £100 received in Year 4 is the same as £100 received in Year 1.
But is it?
The methods we have looked at until now assume that £100 received in year 4 is the same as £100 received now. Is this the case.
As the class – If I offer you either £100 now or £100 in 4 years, which would you choose? Why?
26
Video about time value of money
27
NPV investment appraisal method
Makes a logical allowance for the timing of those cash flows
Considers all of the cash flows for each investment opportunity
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The next methods we will consider is Net Present Value and this has an advantage over payback period as it takes into account all the cash flows and when they are received.
28
Figure 4.3 Factors influencing the return required by investors from a project
Source: Atrill, P. and McLaney, E. (2009) Accounting an Introduction, 5th edn, Pearson Education.
Copyright © 2020, 2017, 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
What causes us to place different values on cash depending on when it is received? The three elements to the time value of money are as above (explained on next slide)
29
Time value of money
Interest lost – an investment return must exceed the opportunity cost of doing something else with the money e.g. if a company could get a return of 5% simply by putting it in the bank, they should only make the investment if the return exceeds that.
Risk – All investments have risk – there could be risks that the projections do not work out as planned, or that a piece of machine could break down, or a pandemic could hit… When making an investment the manger must consider the risk and will expect a higher return the higher the risk.
Inflation – the loss in the purchasing power of money means that £100 in one year will not be able to buy the same amount as £100 now, therefore returns must compensate for this.
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Explanation of time value
30
Maximising Shareholder Wealth
£1m funds available
Bank – interest rate 1%
Investment – return ??%
Dividend – shareholders decide where to invest… ??%
Rate of return > Pure Time Value + Inflation+ Risk Premium
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Going back to our decision making, the investment return must compensate for the opportunity cost, inflation and risk
31
The present value of a cash flow
PV of the cash flow of year n = actual cash flow of year n divided by (1 + r) n
The NPV method looks at each cash flow and when it arises in the future and assigns a present value to it.
For example receiving £105 in Year 1, might only be equivalent to receiving £100 today. We then add up all those cash flows to give a total value of the project today
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NPV applies time value by examining each future cash flow and assigning a value to it to represent what it is worth today (i.e. the present value). For example receiving £105 in a year’s time might be equivalent to receiving £100 today – we need to receive more in the future to equate to the same value. The equation for calculating today’s value of a future cash amount is shown here. r represents an appropriate discounting rate to take account of inflation, opportunity cost and risk
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The future value of a deposit
FV of a deposit of £100 at 5%= £100(1+0.05)n
In year 1 (n=1) the FV is £105, in year 2 the FV is £110.25 and so on
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It can sometimes help to look at this in the other direction. If I deposit £100 today (Year 0) at a rate of 5% in one year the future value is £105, in 2 years £110.25. This is compounding forwards. Discounting works the other way – if I expect to receive £105 in one year at a rate of 5% how much do I need to deposit (or spend in the case of our capital investment) today to get that £105
33
Ways to calculate Present Value
Using discount tables
Using the formula
Using calculations in Excel
Using Excel formulas
I am going to show you 4 ways to calculate the net present value of the future cash flows of an investment. All give the same answers so you can use whichever method you are most comfortable with.
34
Using discount tables
Prepare the cash flow for each year of the project
Select the column representing the discount rate (cost of capital) you will use in the table
For each period find the multiplier and multiply the cash flow for that period by it
Add up all of the present values to give you the Net Present Value (NPV)
Apply rule – If NPV is positive, it increases shareholder wealth therefore accept project.
Steps to calculate NPV using discount tables
35
Example of NPV using 20%
Time
Project 1 £’000
Project 2 £’000
Project 3 £’000
Time | Cash flow £’000 | Multiplier (from the discount table) | Present value |
Immediately (year 0) | (100) | 1 | (100) |
1 Years time | 20 | 0.833 | 16.66 |
2 Years time | 40 | 0.694 | 27.76 |
3 Years time | 60 | 0.579 | 34.74 |
4 Years time | 60 | 0.482 | 28.92 |
5 Years time | 40 | 0.402 | 16.08 |
Total – NPV | 24.16 |
Investing in the machine will increase wealth of business and owners by £24,160 therefore accept.
Walk through the example making sure students can identify where each multiplier is coming from on the discount table. Make the point that to finalise this NPV calc you need to add up the Present Value and deduct the original cost of the machine – students seem to forget the final step.
36
Figure 4.4 Present value of £1 receivable at various times in the future, assuming an annual financing cost of 20 per cent
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This demonstrates that the discount rates are really just a short cut to the formula that we look at next.
37
Using mathematical equation
Prepare the cash flow for each year of the project
Calculate the PV of each
Add up all of the present values to give you the Net Present Value (NPV)
Apply rule – If NPV is positive, it increases shareholder wealth therefore accept project.
If you prefer, rather than using the discount rates, you can take a step even further back and use the equation that the discount rates are derived from. Again you still need to prepare a cash flow and then you calculate the PV for each year and then add them all up
38
Investing in the machine will increase wealth of business and owners by £24,190 therefore accept.
If NPV is positive, project should be accepted.
If comparing two projects with positive NPV accept the higher.
Time | Cash flow £’000 | Formula | Present value |
Immediately (year 0) | (100) | (100.00) | |
1 Years time | 20 | 20/ | 16.67 |
2 Years time | 40 | 40/ | 27.78 |
3 Years time | 60 | 60/ | 34.72 |
4 Years time | 60 | 60/ | 28.94 |
5 Years time | 40 | 40/ | 16.08 |
Total – NPV | 24.19 |
You will get the same answer as using the discount tables – the tables are really just a short cut from this method.
39
Mathematical equation in excel
A | B | |||||
Time | Cash flow | 1 + discount rate | To the power of | Equals | Present value (A/B) | |
Year 0 | -100 | 1.2 | 0 | 1.00 | -100.00 | |
Year 1 | 20 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.20 | 16.67 | |
Year 2 | 40 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.44 | 27.78 | |
Year 3 | 60 | 1.2 | 3 | 1.73 | 34.72 | |
Year 4 | 60 | 1.2 | 4 | 2.07 | 28.94 | |
Year 5 | 40 | 1.2 | 5 | 2.49 | 16.08 | |
Total | 24.18 | |||||
=POWER(1.2,1)
If you like Excel you can calculate the present values using the POWER formula
40
PV Function in Excel
Even more easily you can use the function Present Value or PV in Excel. Once you have brough up the function box you fill in the rate, the year in Nper and the future value (i.e. the future cash flow) and the formula will calculate the PV for you.
There is a detailed step by step video on Weblearn showing you how to use this function in Excel.
41
NPV decision rule
If competing projects are positive, the one with the highest NPV is selected
If NPV is positive, it increases shareholder wealth therefore accept.
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NPV shows whether the future cash flows from a project will increase the value of a company at today’s values. Therefore, any project that has a positive NPV will increase the value of the company and increase shareholder wealth and should therefore be accepted. If there are competing projects you should choose the one with the higher NPV as that increases wealth more than the other.
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Why NPV is better than ARR and PP
The whole of the relevant cash flows
The objectives of the business
The timing of the cash flows
NPV fully addresses each of the following:
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NPV has a number of advantages over the other methods so far
43
Internal rate of return (IRR)
Internal rate of return (IRR)
The discount rate, which, when applied to the future project cash flows, produces a zero NPV
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The final tool we use is linked to NPV. Internal Rate of Return shows the discount rate that would give a NPV of zero
44
On a particular project, the higher the discount rate used, the lower the NPV, until it will eventually move into a loss
Time | Cash flow | Present Value at 20% | Present Value at 25% | Present Value at 30% | Present Value at 35% |
Year 0 | -100 | -£100.00 | -£100.00 | -£100.00 | -£100.00 |
Year 1 | 20 | £16.67 | £16.00 | £15.38 | £14.81 |
Year 2 | 40 | £27.78 | £25.60 | £23.67 | £21.95 |
Year 3 | 60 | £34.72 | £30.72 | £27.31 | £24.39 |
Year 4 | 60 | £28.94 | £24.58 | £21.01 | £18.06 |
Year 5 | 40 | £16.08 | £13.11 | £10.77 | £8.92 |
Total | £24.18 | £10.00 | -£1.86 | -£11.87 |
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This si easiest to see in an example. When we calculated the NPV of the project we calculated that at a rate of 20% the project had an NPV of £24,180. If we increased the discount rate then the NPV starts to fall, so at 25% it is £10,000 and eventually it becomes negative – at 30% it is negative £1,860. Therefore, there must be a discount rate that will give an NPV of Zero – i.e. the barrier between accepting and rejecting the project. This either needs to be done by trial and error – as above – we can guess that the IRR will be slightly lower that 30%, probably around 29% based on those figures, or we can use Excel and there is a video that shows you how to do this on Weblearn.
45
Figure 4.5 The relationship between the NPV and IRR methods
Source: Adapted from Atrill, P. and McLaney E. (2009) Accounting: An Introduction, 5th edn, Pearson Education.
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If we wre to plot NPV and rate of return on a graph we can see where it crosses the X axis is the IRR
46
IRR decision rule
If competing projects exceed minimum IRR requirement, the one with the highest IRR is selected
Project must meet a minimum IRR requirement (The opportunity cost of finance)
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Again we need a decision rule and again in this case it is a target set by the company.
47
On this project, IRR is about 30% – if this is higher than the minimum target the project should go ahead
If competing projects, the one with the highest IRR should be selected.
Present Value at 30% |
-£100.00 |
£15.38 |
£23.67 |
£27.31 |
£21.01 |
£10.77 |
-£1.86 |
IRR decision Making
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Explanation of decision making
48
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An example of where companies use IRR in decision making e.g. Legoland owned by Merlin have a target IRR of 14% on their capital investments. Rentokill use IRR hurdles in different departments to reflect different risk profiles
49
Problems with IRR
Does not directly address wealth maximisation
Ignores the scale of investment
Has difficulty with unconventional cash flows
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Problems with IRR
Unconventional cash flows have two or more changes of sign in the cash flows
50
Some practical points related to investment appraisal
Year-end assumption
Cash flows not profit flows
Interest payments
Other factors
Past costs
Common future costs
Opportunity costs
Taxation
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Practical points:
Do not include past costs – these are gone. Only include future costs
Do not include common future costs e.g. if you have a worker on the project who you would need to pay anyway this does not get included in the calculation.
Do include opportunity costs. If buying a new machine means you can sell the old one, that is additional revenue you can include
Tax is something to consider in real life, but too complicated to go into here.
Remember NPV and IRR and PP use cash flows, not accounting profit
Year end assumptions relate to things like additional working capital needed, we have-not gone into this here
Interest payments again have not been looked at here
Remember that finance is just one element – there may be other factors you need to consider
51
Figure 4.7 The main investment appraisal methods
Source: Adapted from Atrill, P. and McLaney, E. (2013) Accounting and Finance for Non-Specialists, 8th edn, Pearson Education.
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A summary of methods
52
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Summary of the key features
53
Investment appraisal in practice
Many surveys have shown the following features:
NPV and IRR have become increasingly popular
Continued popularity of the PP and ARR methods
Businesses tend to use more than one method
Larger businesses rely more heavily on NPV and IRR than smaller businesses
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In practice…
54
Response scale
IRR
NPV
PP
1 – never
5 – always
3
2
1
4
5
USA
UK
Germany
Canada
Japan
Average
3.88
3.46
4.00
4.00
3.89
4.16
3.50
3.33
4.08
4.09
3.57
4.15
3.57
3.52
3.29
3.80
3.55
3.93
Frequency of use of investment appraisal techniques
Source: Based on information in G. Cohen and J. Yagil (2007) ‘A multinational survey of corporate financial policies’, Journal of Applied Finance. vol 17(1).
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In practice…
55
What’s Next…
Today
5.30 – 7.30 Capital Investment Decision Making continued
7.30 – 8.30 Business Simulation Round 5
8.30pm – Finish!
For next time:
Business Simulation round 5 submitted by 3pm Wednesday 11th January
Assessment 1 – Thursday 12th January 2022 for groups 1 & 2 and Friday 13th January for groups 3,4 & 5
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MN7029: Financial Decision Making
2.2 Cost behaviour, pricing and budgets
Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
Learning Outcomes
Define and distinguish different categories of cost
Understand how a fixed cost and a variable cost behave and deduce the break even point
Understand the benefits and limitations of using marginal contribution analysis and break even point
Discuss the impact for managers in decision making
Describe operation of full absorption costing and Activity Based Costing
Define a budget and show how budgets and strategy are related.
The Decision Making Process
4. Develop short term plans/budgets
3. Select option and consider long term plans
5. Implement the decisions
6. Review and monitor outcomes of decision
7. Act on differences from plan
2. Consider options available
1. Set aims and objective
What is the purpose of management accounting?
Allocate costs between costs of goods sold and inventory for reporting
Provide date for management decision making
Information for planning and performance review
Definition of cost
The amount of resources, usually measured in monetary terms, sacrificed to achieve a particular objective
For example:
A hotel uses resources such as food to make breakfast, labour to clean rooms and electricity to provide light to achieve the objective of providing a comfortable place to stay for customers
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Examples of costs
Fixed and variable – we will discuss next
Direct and indirect – can it be exclusively identified with a cost object or is it an overhead?
Sunk Costs – costs incurred as a result of a past decision that cannot be reversed
Opportunity cost – benefit that is lost as a result of a choice of one course of action rather than another
Behaviour of costs
Helps managers to determine:
How many units to break even point – the number of items sold where costs are equivalent to revenue and therefore there is no profit or loss
Effect of reducing/increasing sales price
Effect of an increase or reduction in volume of sales
Effect of a incurring an additional cost of a marketing campaign or
How best to pay people
Two types of cost
The value of an opportunity forgone
Opportunity cost
A cost already incurred
Historic cost
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Figure 7.1 Decision flow diagram for identifying relevant costs
Relevant cost
Irrelevant cost
Does the cost relate to the objectives of the business?
No
Does the cost vary with the decision?
Does the cost relate to the future?
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
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The behaviour of costs
Remain constant (fixed) when changes occur to the volume of activity
Vary according to the volume of activity
Costs may be classified as:
Fixed
Variable
The value of costs incurred in producing one unit.
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Fixed Costs
Fixed cost: total remains constant in proportion to the level of activity, within a relevant range (per unit decreases)
For example: Rent
Salaries
Advertising
Example: I have rented a factory for £5,000 per month to make my cupcakes. If cake production goes up 10%, rent does not change.
Production
Cost
Figure 7.3 Graph of rent cost against the volume of activity
Rent cost (£)
Volume of activity
R
0
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Variable Costs
Variable cost: total changes in proportion to the level of activity (unit cost remains constant)
For example: Number of units produced
Hours worked
Rooms occupied
Example: If I am making cake and each cake needs 200g of flour then if cake production goes up 10%, so does the quantity and total cost of flour.
Cost
Production
Figure 7.5 Graph of total cost against the volume of activity
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Graph of total sales revenue against the volume of activity
Total sales £
Volume of activity
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Figure 7.5 Graph of total cost against the volume of activity
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Figure 7.6 Break-even chart
Break even point:
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Figure 7.7 Break-even and load factors at Ryanair
Load factor
Break-even point
%
60
40
20
80
0
100
Per cent
2013
70
82
2014
72
83
2015
72
88
2016
72
93
2017
73
94
Source: Based on information contained in Ryanair Holdings plc, Annual Report 2017.
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19
Why does a manager need to know which costs are variable and which are fixed?
Prediction of costs
Traditional accounts separate costs on a functional rather than behavioural basis
The Contribution Approach
Start with sales
Deduct variable costs
Contribution margin
Example CVP
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £2,400 |
Contribution margin shows the amount available to cover fixed costs and then provide profits.
If Contribution margin does not cover fixed costs the company makes a loss
CVP and Break even
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (600 cakes) | £6,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £2,400 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £3,600 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £0 |
To reach break even point, the company must make enough contribution margin to cover fixed costs
Since our cakes have a contribution margin of £6 per unit and fixed costs of £3,600 we can calculate that the break even point is 600 cakes (£3,600/£6)
CVP Chart
Units sold
£ Costs and Revenue
Example CVP
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (601 cakes) | £6,010 | £10 |
Variable costs | £2,404 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £3,606 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £6 |
Above break even, each sale will increase profit by the contribution margin – so if we sell 601 cakes: profit = contribution margin = £6
Managers use this to work out budgets simply at different levels of activity – you just need to multiply the units over break even point by the contribution margin per unit to give the profit
Cost Volume Profit Analysis recap
Total cost (or full cost) = Fixed costs + variable costs
Contribution margin = Sales revenue per unit – variable costs per unit
Break Even Units =
Examples of how to use CVP
Break even point = = = 600 cakes
No of cakes sold to achieve profit of £5,000 = = = 1,433 cakes
Additional profit from sale of an extra 100 cakes above break even = 100 × £6 = £600
What price do we sell cake at if we want to make a profit of £5,000 at 600 cakes? Total revenue to get £5,000 profit would be Fixed costs (£3,600) plus variable costs (600 × £4 = £2,400) plus required profit (£5,000) = £11,000. Divided by number of cakes (600) gives a selling price of £18
Contribution Margin Ratio
Total | Percentage of sales | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | 100 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | 40 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | 60 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £2,400 |
Contribution margin can also be calculated as a % of sales:
Profit = (Sales Revenue x contribution margin) – Fixed costs
Application of CVP
Once we know contribution margin, managers can use this in decision making, for example modelling the impact on profit of:
A change in fixed costs and sales volume (e.g. an advertising campaign)
A change in variable costs and sales volume (e.g. using higher quality raw materials)
A change in fixed cost, sales price and sales volume
A change in variable costs, fixed costs and sales volume
A change in sales price
You can also use it for target profit analysis
Margin of safety = Budgeted or actual sales – Break even sales
Margin of safety % =
Practice question
Question 1: You decide to reduce variable costs by using a lower quality ingredients with a per unit cost of £2 but this will cause sales to fall to 700 cakes – should you do it?
Question 2: You decide to undertake an advertising campaign which will cost £1,000 but will increase sales to 1,200 units. Should you do it?
Total | Per unit | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
Profit | £2,400 |
Practice question
Q1: You decide to reduce variable costs by using a lower quality ingredients with a per unit cost of £2 but this will cause sales to fall to 700 cakes – should you do it?
New contribution margin = 700 x £8 = £5,600
Present contribution margin = 1,000 x £6 = £6,000
Decrease in total contribution margin = £400
Q2: You decide to undertake an advertising campaign which will cost £1,000 but will increase sales to 1,200 units. Should you do it?
Incremental contribution margin = £6 x 200 = £1,200
Increase in fixed costs = £1,000
Increase in profit = £200
Figure 7.10 The effect of operating gearing
Volume of output
Profit
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Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What is the best trade off between fixed and variable costs
E.g. buying in components rather than making yourself, automating by machinery rather than labour costs
In my cupcake factory I have the choice of using a individuals to make the cakes (high variable cost, lower fixed cost) or a machine to (low variable cost, high fixed cost)
As you can see at sales of 1,000 I get the same profit whatever I choose.
Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 | £10,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 | £2,000 | £2 |
Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 | £8,000 | £8 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
Profit | £2,400 | £2,400 |
Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What happens if there is a 10% increase in sales?
Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
Sales (1,100 cakes) | £11,000 | £10 | £11,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £4,400 | £4 | £2,200 | £2 |
Contribution margin | £6,600 | £6 | £8,800 | £8 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
Profit | £3,000 | £3,200 |
For a 10% increase in sales, option 1 gives a 25% increase in profit, option 2 gives a 33% increase in profit.
Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What about a 10% decrease in sales?
Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
Sales (900 cakes) | £9,000 | £10 | £9,000 | £10 |
Variable costs | £3,600 | £4 | £1,800 | £2 |
Contribution margin | £5,400 | £6 | £7,200 | £8 |
Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
Profit | £1,800 | £1,600 |
For a 10% decrease in sales, option 1 gives a 25% decrease in profit, option 2 gives a 33% decrease in profit.
Higher proportion of fixed costs mean a higher break even point and more profit volatility – more upside when things go well but also more downside…
Operating leverage
The degree of operating leverage shows how profit moves when sales move.
If leverage is high, profit will move proportionately more than if it is low
Operating leverage =
Option A – operating leverage at 1,000 sales = 2.5
Option B – operating leverage at 1,000 sales = 3.33
Figure 7.8a Break-even chart – low gearing
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Figure 7.8b Break-even chart – high gearing
Revenue/Cost (£000)
1
Fixed cost
5
4
3
2
Volume of activity (number of baskets)
0
100
400
300
200
500
6
Total costs
Break-even point
Total revenue
LOSS
PROFIT
600
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Margin of Safety
How “safe” is a business in relation to changes in sales volume?
Margin of safety in £revenue = estimated sales revenue – breakeven sales revenue
Margin of safety % = x 100
Figure 7.9 Ryanair’s margin of safety
Margin of safety
Operating profit
0
Margin of safety (as a percentage of BEP)
25
30
15
5
1000
600
400
200
0
1600
Operating profit (in millions of euros)
2013
718
17
2014
659
15
2015
22
1043
800
1200
1400
2016
1460
29
2017
29
1534
20
10
Source: Derived from information contained in Ryanair Holdings plc 2013 Annual Report.
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39
Examples of business with different gearing
Jones, T. (2012) Strategic managerial accounting: hospitality, tourism and events applications. Oxford, U.K.: Goodfellow p42
Weaknesses of break-even analysis
Three general problems
Non-linear relationships
Stepped fixed cost
Multi-product businesses
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Decision making
Marginal cost – the cost of producing one more unit
Marginal analysis – only costs and revenues that vary with decision are considered, so fixed costs excluded.
Uses
Deciding whether to apply a discount to a particular order
Scare resources – calculate the contribution per unit
Deciding whether to buy a component or make in house
Considering whether to close departments
Why do we need to know the full cost of a product?
Figure 8.1 Uses of full cost by managers
Assessing relative efficiency
Uses of full cost
Exercising control
Pricing and output decisions
Assessing performance
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Full costing
Earlier we looked top down:
Sales | X |
Variable costs | (X) |
Contribution to fixed costs | X |
Now we look bottom up:
Direct costs | X |
Allocation of indirect costs | X |
Total cost of one unit | X |
Direct and indirect cost
All other elements of cost, that is, those that cannot be directly measured in respect of each particular unit of output
Categories of cost
Direct cost
Cost that can be identified with specific cost units – the effect of the cost can be measured in respect of each particular output
Indirect cost or overheads
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Figure 8.2 Percentage of full cost contributed by direct and indirect cost
Indirect cost
Direct cost
60
40
20
80
0
Percentage of full cost
All 176 businesses
Manufacturing businesses (91)
Service and retail businesses (85)
69
31
75
25
49
51
Source: Al-Omiri, M. and Drury, C. (2007) ‘A survey of factors influencing the choice of product costing systems in UK organizations’, Management Accounting Research, December, pp. 399–424.
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Figure 8.3 The relationship between direct cost and indirect cost
Full cost of the job
Direct cost of the job
Appropriate share of indirect cost (overheads)
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Why is this a problem?
If we produce one homogenous product (e.g. identical cupcakes) we could just split the overhead over units produced
E.g In my cupcake factory the overhead is £20,000 and I produce 10,000 cakes I could allocate £2 to every cake to determine price.
But if my factory produces cupcakes and cars and I produce 10,000 cakes and 500 cars with a total overhead of £500,000, is it fair to allocate £48 to each cupcake and each car?
Figure 8.5 The relationship between direct, indirect, variable and fixed costs of a particular job
Total (or full) cost of a particular job
Fixed cost
Indirect cost (overheads)
Direct cost
Variable cost
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VARIABLE
FIXED
DIRECT (Traced to a product)
INDIRECT
Raw materials; commissions
Electricity for a whole factory
Some labour; rent for a production plant
Head office rent and salaries
Insert footer / references if needed
Traditional full costing process
How do we assign an indirect cost to individual differing units?
Full costing sees overheads as a service to the end cost unit (e.g. factory overhead provides a service to the end product of keeping the machine operating, housing the product etc).
We need to choose something measurable on which to apportion the overhead
This could be
Labour hours
Machine hours
Physical space
Number of employees
And so on…
Budgeting
Figure 9.1 The planning and control process
Identify and assess strategic options
Revise plans (and budgets) if necessary
Undertake a position analysis
Establish mission and objectives
Select strategic options and formulate long-term (strategic) plans
Prepare budgets
Perform and collect information on actual performance
Respond to variances and exercise control
Identify variances between planned (budgeted) and actual performance
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Budgeting
Plan the operations for the year – takes an organisational objective and quantifies it.
Measure performance against targets (control)
Coordination of different parts of the business
Communicates expectations to unit managers
Helps efficient allocation of resources
Motivation to achieve organization’s goals
Helps to control and authorize the ongoing activities
Evaluate performance of individual managers
Figure 9.3 The interrelationship of operating budgets
Finished inventories budget
Production budget
Raw materials inventories budget
Overheads budget
Trade receivables budget
Trade payables budget
Capital expenditure budget
Raw materials purchases budget
Sales budget
Direct labour budget
Cash budget
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An example of a budget – the cash budget
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
Receipts
Receivables 60 52 55 55 60 55
Payments
Payables (30) (30) (31) (26) (35) (31)
Salaries and wages (10) (10) (10) (10) (10) (10)
Electricity (14) (9)
Other overheads (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2)
Van purchase (11)
Total payments (42) (42) (68) (38) (47) (52)
Cash surplus 18 10 (13) 17 13 3
Cash balance 30 40 27 44 57 60
Opening balance 12 30 40 27 44 57
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An example of the inventories budget
Jan £000 | Feb £000 | Mar £000 | Apr £000 | May £000 | June £000 | |
Opening balance | 30 | 30 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Purchases | 30 | 31 | 26 | 35 | 31 | 32 |
Inventories used | (30) | (31) | (31) | (35) | (31) | (32) |
Closing balance | 30 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
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Budget variances
Original budget | Actual | |
Output (production and sales) | 1,000 units | 900 units |
£ | £ | |
Sales revenue | 100,000 | 92,000 |
Direct materials | (40,000) | (36,900) (37,000m) |
Direct labour | (20,000) | (17,500) (2,150 hr) |
Fixed overheads | (20,000) | (20,700) |
Operating profit | 20,000 | 16,900 |
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Flexible budgets
A more valid comparison can be made between the budget (using the flexed figures) and the actual results.
Original budget | Flexed budget | Actual | |
Output (production and sales) | 1,000 units | 900 units | 900 units |
£ | £ | £ | |
Sales revenue | 100,000 | 90,000 | 92,000 |
Direct materials | (40,000) | (36,000) (36,000m) | (36,900) (37,000m) |
Direct labour | (20,000) | (18,000) (2,250 hr) | (17,500) (2,150 hr) |
Fixed overheads | (20,000) | (20,000) | (20,700) |
Operating profit | 20,000 | 16,000 | 16,900 |
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Figure 9.6 Relationship between the budgeted and actual profit
equals
minus
Actual profit
plus
All adverse variances
All favourable variances
Budgeted profit
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Behavioural issues of budgetary control
Demanding, yet achievable, budget targets can motivate more than less demanding ones
Unrealistically demanding targets can adversely effect managers’ performance
Budgets can improve job satisfaction and performance
Participation of managers in setting their targets can improve motivation and performance
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Making Budgetary Control Effective
A serious attitude taken to the system.
Clear demarcation between areas of managerial responsibility.
Budget targets that are challenging yet achievable.
Established data collection, analysis and reporting routines.
Reports aimed at individual managers, rather than general-purpose documents.
Fairly short reporting periods.
Timely variance reports.
Action being taken to get operations back under control if they are shown to be out of control.
What’s Next…
7.30pm to 8.30pm – Review round 1 and prepare round 2.
8.30pm – Finish!
Next time:
Business Simulation round 2 submitted by 3pm Wednesday 14th December
Review Weblearn for extended learning questions
Read Atrill Ch 10
Consider: You run a business producing health food bars and selling them to supermarkets wholesale and customers online. What are the key elements of working capital management that you are concerned with?
"Buying goods on credit can be a good source of finance so it is good financial management practice to delay payment for as long as possible." Do you agree with this statement?
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making
Welcome to Week 2.1!
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Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
Learning Outcomes
Look for clues in a company's financial statements about performance
Identify and calculate major ratios used for assessing financial performance
Discuss the use and limitations of such financial ratios.
Interpreting financial performance
Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | Yr 6 | |
Sales | 50,000 | 100,000 | 120,000 | 150,000 | 180,000 | 210,000 |
Cost of sales | 25,000 | 40,000 | 55,000 | 82,000 | 100,000 | 120,000 |
Profit | 25,000 | 60,000 | 65,000 | 68,000 | 80,000 | 90,000 |
What can you tell me about this company’s performance?
Consider the following….
In 2022 Marks & Spencer made £10.9bn in revenue and £391.7m in profit before tax
In 2021 Boden made £256m in revenue and £14m in profit
Which company is performing better?
Consider the following….
How about if I told you in 2-21 M&S made £9.2bn in revenue and a loss of £209m and 2019 Boden made £295m in revenue and a profit of £14m?
Or showed you this graph of M&S share price over the last year?
We learned in Session 2 that different groups of people use financial information for different reasons…
Interpreting financial performance
Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | Yr 6 | |
Sales | 50,000 | 80,000 | 120,000 | 150,000 | 180,000 | 210,000 |
60% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 17% | ||
Cost of sales | 25,000 | 40,000 | 55,000 | 82,000 | 100,000 | 120,000 |
60% | 37.5% | 49% | 22% | 20% | ||
Profit | 25,000 | 40,000 | 65,000 | 68,000 | 80,000 | 90,000 |
60% | 62.5% | 5% | 18% | 12.5% |
What can you tell me about this company’s performance now?
Types of financial analysis
Scanning
Trend analysis
Common sized statements
Financial ratios
Financial Ratios
A ratio relates one figure in the financial statements to another (e.g. operating profit compared to sales revenue).
Means of assessing health of the company.
Comparison tools e.g. between periods or companies.
Eliminate the problem of scale.
Identify strength/weaknesses but do not explain them.
Ensure they are meaningful relationships.
Variations in choice and calculation.
Figure 3.1 The key aspects of financial health
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11
Categories of Ratio
Profitability – indication of how well company is generating profit or wealth for shareholders.
Efficiency (or activity) – how well the particular resources e.g. inventory have been used in the business.
Liquidity – relationship between liquid resources and what is due to be paid.
Financial gearing – relationship between shareholder capital and borrowing.
Investment – measuring return and performance of shares
Historical and Projected Financial Statement Users
Current/potential investors
Employees
Lenders
Suppliers
Customers
Government and regulators
The public
Management
Profitability – indication of how well company is generating profit or wealth for shareholders.
Efficiency (or activity) – how well the particular resources e.g. inventory have been used in the business.
Liquidity – relationship between liquid resources and what is due to be paid.
Financial gearing – relationship between shareholder capital and borrowing.
Investment – measuring return and performance of shares
Ratios
Comparison with what?
Past periods
Improvement/deterioration in performance;
Long term trends;
But may not expose inefficiencies in comparison to other businesses;
Does not consider trading conditions.
Similar businesses
Compare efficiency to competitors;
But may be differences in accounting policies;
May not be able to get the information or sufficiently useful breakdown.
Planned performance
Helps to set budgets and track achievement.
Calculating the ratios
Please have p94 Financial Management for Decision Making (9th edn) open (p87 in 8th edn).
Financial statements relating to Alexis Plc.
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Profitability ratios
Profit for the year less any preference dividend Ordinary share capital + Reserves
Return on ordinary shareholders’ funds (ROSF)
Operating profit Share capital + Reserves + Non-current liabilities
Return on capital employed (ROCE)
Operating profit Sales revenue
Operating profit margin
Gross profit Sales revenue
Gross profit margin
× 100
× 100
× 100
× 100
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Operating/Gross profit margin
Operating profit margin relates the profit to the sales revenue (notice that this ratio compares two income statement items).
Operating profit is used as it excludes financing costs but includes all general costs of running the business.
This ratio varies according to type of business e.g. supermarket versus jeweller.
Businesses often use target operating margins in budgets.
Gross profit margin relates the gross profit to the sales revenue (again this ratio compares two income statement items).
Measures profitability in producing goods before other general expenses.
2018
Gross profit margin =
= 22.1%
Op profit margin = 100%
=10.8%
2019
Gross profit margin =
= 15.3%
Op profit margin = 100%
=1.8%
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Return on Ordinary Shareholders’ Funds
Return on ordinary shareholders funds ratio (ROSF) compares the profit for the year with the owners’ average stake in the business.
An average figure is used for shareholder funds as it should be more representative but you may need to rely on year end if that is not available;
Business seek to generate as high as possible value for ROSF.
ROSF for 2019
×100
= 2.0%
ROSF for 2018
×100
= 33.0%
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Return on Capital Employed
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) compares the operating profit for the year with the average long term capital (so shareholder funds and long term loans).
We use Profit Before Interest and Tax as the top figure as this ratio is looking at the return to everyone before deductions of financing interest.
Again, an average figure is used for shareholder funds as it should be more representative but you may need to rely on year end if that is not available;
An important ratio as it compares inputs through capital with outputs (operating profit).
ROCE for 2018
×100
= 34.7%
ROCE for 2018
×100
= 5.9%
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Profitability Summary
Overall profitability indicators have declined quite severely
Both gross and operating profits declined, but operating profit declined proportionately more – what has caused increase in operating expenses? Could it be due to increasing employee numbers?
Revenue has increased, but cost of sales proportionately more – again what has caused this?
2018 | 2019 | |
ROSF | 33% | 2% |
ROCE | 34.7% | 5.9% |
Gross Profit Margin | 22.1% | 15.3% |
Operating Profit Margin | 10.8% | 1.8% |
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Efficiency ratios
Formula
Average inventories turnover period
Average settlement period for trade receivables
Average settlement period for trade payables
Sales revenue to capital employed
Sales revenue per employee
Average inventories held Cost of sales
Average trade receivables Credit sales revenue
Average trade payables Credit purchases
Sales revenue Number of employees
Sales revenue________________ Share capital + Reserves + Non-current liabilities
× 365
× 365
× 365
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Average inventories turnover:
2018: ×365 = 56.6 days
2019: ×365 = 56.7 days
Average receivables settlement:
2018: ×365 = 37.7 days
2019: ×365 = 34.9 days
Average payables turnover:
2018: × 365 = 44.9 days
2019: × 365 = 47.2 days
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Sales Revenue to Capital Employed (2019): =3.36
Sales Revenue to Capital Employed (2018): =3.2
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Summary of Efficiency Ratios
2018 | 2019 | |
Average inventories turnover period | 56.6 days | 56.7 days |
Average settlement period for trade receivables | 37.7 days | 34.9 days |
Average settlement period for trade payables | 44.9 days | 47.2 days |
Sales revenue to capital employed (net asset turnover) | 3.20 times | 3.36 times |
Sales revenue per employee | £160,057 | £143,962 |
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Figure 3.6 The main elements of the ROCE ratio
Source: Atrill, P. and McLaney, E. (2010) Accounting and Finance for Non-specialists, 7th edn, Pearson Education.
Operating profit margin ratio
Sales revenue to capital employed
Operating profit/Long term capital
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29
Liquidity ratios
Current ratio
Acid test ratio
Formula
Current assets Current liabilities
Current assets (excluding inventories) Current liabilities
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Acid Test ratio:
2018: = 0.8 times
2019: = 0.6 times
Current ratio:
2018: = 1.9 times
2019: = 1.6 times
Gearing ratios
Long-term (non-current) liabilities Share capital + Reserves + Long-term (non-current) liabilities
Gearing ratio
Formula
Interest cover ratio
Operating profit Interest payable
× 100
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32
Gearing ratio:
2018: 100 = 26.2%
2019: 100 = 36%
Interest cover
2018: = 13.5 times
2019: 1.5 times
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Investment ratios
Formula
Dividend payout ratio
Dividend cover ratio
Dividend yield ratio
Earnings for the year available for dividends Dividends announced for the year
Dividends announced for the year Earnings for the year available for dividends
× 100
Dividend per share Market value per share
× 100
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Investment ratios (Continued)
Formula
Price/earnings ratio (P/E)
Earnings per share
Earnings available to ordinary shareholders Number of ordinary shares in issue
Market value per share Earnings per share
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What is a dividend?
Company X
Management
Employees
Shareholders
A payment to shareholders out of retained profit
Decided by directors
Directors may choose to keep profit in the business for growth
Dividend payout ratio:
2018: × 100% = 24.2%
2019: × 100% = 363%
Dividend payout ratio:
2018: = 4.1 times
2019: = 0.3 times
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Dividend yield ratio:
2018: × 100% = 2.7%
2019: × 100% = 4.5%
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Earnings per share:
2018: = 27.5p
2019: = 1.8p
Price/Earnings Ratio:
2018: = 9.1 times
2019: = 83.3 times
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Earnings Ratios
EPS relates the earnings for a period to the number of shares in issue;
This is a key ratio for investment analysts and they will track this over time to assess a business;
P/E ratio then relates the EPS to the market value of the share – the higher the ratio the greater the confidence in the future earnings and the more the investors are willing to pay in relation to its current earnings.
Figure 3.10 Tesco: The Leahy years
Source: Smith, T. (2014) ‘How investors ignored the warning signs at Tesco’, ft.com, 5 September. © Terry Smith 2014. Reproduced by permission of the author. All Rights Reserved.
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0
1.0
2.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
1.60
1.87
2.04
2.62
1.74
1.56
2.10
6.52
4.37
3.06
2.51
Dividend yield (%)
6.0
1.64
Aerospace/Defence
Auto parts
Beverage (Soft)
Coal & Related Energy
Drugs (Pharmaceutical)
Entertainment
Healthcare products
Household products
Oil/Gas Distribution
Total market
Utility (Water)
Publishing & Newspapers
7.0
Figure 3.11 Average dividend yield ratios for business in a range of industries
Source: Charts compiled from data in Damodaran, A., ‘Useful data sets’, www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.html, accessed 9 January 2019.
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Figure 3.12 Average price/earnings ratios for businesses in a range of industries
11.39
26.73
74.89
29.61
88.72
52.05
29.16
105.67
12.66
32.81
46.52
30.91
Aerospace/Defence
Auto parts
Beverage (Soft)
Drugs (Pharmaceutical)
Entertainment
Healthcare products
Household products
Oil/Gas Distribution
Total market
Utility (Water)
Publishing & Newspapers
Current PE (times)
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
Coal & Related Energy
Source: Charts compiled from data in Damodaran, A., ‘Useful data sets’, www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_ Home_Page/data.html, accessed 9 January 2019.
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Figure 3.14 Current ratio of three leading businesses
Current ratio
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
2018
2010
2009
2008
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Tesco plc
J. Sainsbury plc
William Morrison
Source: Ratios calculated from information in the annual reports of the three businesses for each of the years 2008 to 2018.
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Which ratios will be important for different industries?
Overtrading
Overtrading occurs where a business is operating at an unsustainable level
May be due to expanding businesses that have not prepared, misjudgement on sales or costs levels, lack of access to further finance
Can cause liquidity problems and company may run out of cash
Can be spotted in low current ratios; low inventory turnover ratio, high settlement ratio for payables
Company must ensure that finance available is consistent with level of operations.
Overtrading and financial ratios
Current ratio
Acid test ratio
Average settlement period for trade receivables
Average inventories turnover period
Overtrading may lead to a lower than expected:
Average settlement period for trade payables
Sales to capital employed ratio
Overtrading may lead to a higher than expected:
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Using Ratios to Predict Failure
An analyst will look at a combination of ratios to judge the health of a business.
Is it possible to develop a mathematical formula for failure?
Beaver’s research showed that some ratios exhibited differences between businesses that subsequently failed and this that didn’t.
Zmijewski found connection between failure and rates of return and gearing, but not liquidity in his study.
The Z-score model
where:
a = Working capital/Total assets
b = Accumulated retained profits/Total assets
c = Operating profit/Total assets
d = Book (statement of financial position) value of ordinary and preference shares/Total liabilities at book (statement of financial position) value
e = Sales revenue/Total assets
1.2a + 1.4b + 3.3c + 0.6d + 1.0e
Z =
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Limitations of ratio analysis
Over-reliance on ratios
Basis for comparison
Quality of financial statements
Statement of financial position ratios
Inflation
Creative accounting
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50
What’s Next…
5.30pm to 7.30pm – Cost behaviour, pricing and budgets (incl 10 minutes break).
7.30pm to 8.30pm – Review round 1 and prepare round 2.
8.30pm – Finish!
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making Week 1.1
Welcome!
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Purpose of Module and Learning Objects
Understand and use financial information to make effective business decisions;
Understand key financial management issues, performance indicators and methodologies;
Understand the preparation of and use of accounting;
Assess accounting information to evaluate business performance
Learning Objects
LO1: Critically evaluate company financial performance and make recommendations for improvement;
LO2: Demonstrate an understanding and use of the appropriate analytical techniques to be applied to business case development and investment appraisal; the raising of finance and the distribution of funds to investors;
LO3: Communicate financial information, analysis, issues and recommendations clearly and concisely.
Weblearn
Please make use of Weblearn.
For each session you will see:
Introduction and learning objectives;
Lecture slides;
Additional reading.
You can also share ideas on the Discussion Board
Key Points
Please make sure you are familiar with the module handbook and timetable;
Please watch out for Announcements & Emails
If you have any questions about the course, please consider posting them on the discussion board
If you can’t make a class please let me know beforehand
The group assessment requires you to work in teams. Please be respectful of your teammates time and arrange sessions that work for you all
Any Questions?
Week 1 – Learning Outcomes
Consider the role of the finance function
Compare and contrast the differences between financial accounting and financial management;
Examine how a finance team will support managerial decisions;
Consider your interaction as a manager with the finance function in a business;
Identify and discuss possible objectives for a business;
Introduce the main purpose of corporate governance rules.
What do companies do?
They produce good or services
They use inputs (which need to be paid for) to produce outputs
They need money to pay for inputs (costs) and they receive money (revenue) for their outputs
Paying for inputs or receiving revenue is an economic transaction
Difference between costs and revenue is profit
Managers need to decide what to produce, what price, which supplier, how many workers, contracts, production technique
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58340082
Financial decision making in the real world – how does a CEO improve share price?
Demonstrating the importance of financial decisions – this manager will have the opportunity to take home a big bonus if he can increase the share price of the company. But how do managers do this? Later we will look at the link between making decisions that increase the wealth of the company in relation to the wealth of the shareholders and therefore share price, but this will involve making pricing/investment decisions
What is accounting?
A process of identifying, recording summarizing and reporting economic information or transactions to decision makers and stakeholders in the form of financial statements
There is a difference between financial accounting and management accounting
The accounting system is the steps performed to analyze, record, quantify and report economic events and their effects on an organization. It must be designed to meet the needs of the users
Insert footer / references if needed
Emphasis on financial management as the ability to take possibly millions of economic transactions in a company and present them in a way that allows interpretation and decision making
The Finance Function
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Managers understand, plan, control and make decisions
The finance function helps managers to manage
They do this through managerial activities in the organisation namely
The Finance Function
Strategic management – which requires the setting of long-term objectives and setting out how these objectives will be achieved
Operations management – which requires that things go to plan and putting in place the day to day control of activities in each functional area.
Risk management – which requires the managers to identify the risks faced by the entity and how to manage them.
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Figure 1.1 The role of managers
The three management activities can be depicted as shown. The figure shows clearly that they are not distinct and separate.
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The Finance Function
To carry out the aforementioned functions requires managers to undertake a number of tasks namely:
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Financial Planning
Investment Project Appraisal
Financing Decisions
Capital Market Operations
Financial Control
Financial Planning (Week 1.2)
This requires managers to assess the potential impact of their future investment projects on future financial performance and position using budgeted information to prepare key financial statements for the intended projects.
Investment Project Appraisal (Week 3.1)
Appraising the financial viability of each long term investment projects throws some light on whether or not the project should be undertaken. This will assist the manager to make informed decisions about whether to reject or accept the investment proposal.
Financing Decisions (Week 4.1)
These require managers to decide how projects will be financed. Will they be financed through internally or externally generated funds? What are the costs of each source? Which is most beneficial to the company? These are a few of the questions managers will ask.
Capital Markets Operations (Weeks 4.2)
Companies, especially Public Limited Companies (Plc), raise long term finance through the capital markets which invariably means that managers need to understand how these markets operate.
Financial Control (Week 2.2)
Once managers have taken the decision to implement a plan, they must ensure that things go according to plan. They this by asking subordinates to provide regular reports to them as things get under way. This will enable them to put in place control activities.
The Finance Function Contd.
The five areas looked at above can be depicted in pictorial form in the figure on the next slide. This should hopefully allow you to see the interrelationship of them all and the finance function.
They are all part of the three roles of managers we looked at above – Strategic, Operations and Risk Management.
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Figure 1.2 The tasks of the finance function
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Financial planning and analysis
Treasury manager
Risk management
Corporate strategy
Who might form part of a finance function?
Financial Controller
Financial accountant
General ledger accountants
Cash book
REPORTING/HISTORICAL
FORECASTING/FUTURE
CFO
FD
CFO is known as Csuite – part of the Board of Directors,
Financial controller – oversees the accounts reporting team, responsible for budgets, analysis
Ginance/accounts manager – day to day running of the finance requirements
May also have general ledger accounts responsible for specific areas e.g. cash book
Strategic finance function:
FP&A:
What is the objective of a company?
Question for the class – can they come up with ideas about what a company’s objective or goal should be? Leading into the theories of Friedman and Freeman about only objective to be to maximise wealth or take account of stakeholder interests
The structure of a company
Company X
Management
Employees
Banks
Customers
Suppliers
General Public
Shareholders
For students to help emphasis the relationships:
Company is a separate legal entity – it can contract in its own right and has its own transactions. A company is not its employees or managers – they have a contractual relationship with the company to perform duties or services
Shareholders are owners of the company – this might include some members of the management team but they can wear different hats whether they are acting as owner or manager – possibly conflicts of interest
Other people are stakeholders- they have an interest – it might be contractual e.g. a bank or more nebulous – how does your company affect the general public
Milton Friedman’s Shareholder Theory
The management team are responsible for the business. They are employees of the owner of the business. The management’s prime responsibility is to the owners.
The goal of the owners (shareholders) is “to make as much money as possible while conforming to the basic rules of society, both those embodied in law and those embodied in ethical custom”
Therefore, the objective of the business is to use the resources of the company to increase or maximize the wealth of the shareholders.
If the managers account do not use the resources to maximize the wealth of the shareholders they will invest their money elsewhere.
How do we maximize value? By making economic decisions within the business that maximize the value of the business.
Primary objective
To achieve wealth maximisation the needs of other stakeholders must be considered
Not the same as profit maximisation
The primary objective of a business is shareholder wealth maximisation:
High ethical standards may be needed to maximise shareholder wealth
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Shareholder wealth maximisation
Shareholders:
Have a residual claim and bear the risk
Are incentivised to increase their residual claim through entrepreneurial activity
Are the effective owners
However, pursuit of this objective:
May undermine the status of other stakeholders
May encourage excessive cost cutting
May encourage unethical behaviour
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Profit maximisation problems
Profit cannot be objectively determined
Profit takes no account of risk
Profit is an imprecise term
Period over which profit should be maximised is unclear
Profit takes no account of opportunity cost
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Video – R Edward Freeman on Stakeholder Theory
Does not offer clear-cut objectives
Increases problems of accountability
Raises difficult questions concerning who the stakeholders are and how they should be treated
Stakeholder approach – problems
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Case study
Consider this article about the profits drug companies expect to make from the COVID vaccine (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55170756)
AstraZeneca has promised not to make a profit until the pandemic is over
Each group takes on the role of a stakeholder in AstraZeneca (shareholder, manager, government) spend 10 minutes discussing your view on the decision
One person report back to the group
If time get the groups to discuss and report back or can do as a class discussion
The agency problem
In a company the owners (shareholders) are not the management (directors).
Directors are agents of the shareholders.
How can we protect shareholders if there is a difference of interests?
Align interests/link reward
Rules (UK governance code)
Increasing shareholder involvement
Figure 1.4 Principles underpinning a framework of rules
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Rules are set by individual jurisdictions, but generally will be underpinned by these principles
Disclosure of relevant information to parties who need to understand it
Fairness across different businesses (i.e. not unnecessary rules)
A mechanism to hold those responsible as accountable for their actions
The UK Corporate Governance Code
Aims to ensure that:
Powers and responsibilities of directors are clearly delineated
Appropriate checks and balances are in place
Source: Based on information in The UK Corporate Governance Code, July 2018, Financial reporting Council. www.frc.org.uk
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Covers five main areas
Board leadership and company purpose
Division of responsibilities
Audit, risk and internal control
Composition succession and evaluation
Remuneration
The UK Corporate Governance Code
Source: Based on information in The UK Corporate Governance Code, July 2018, Financial reporting Council. www.frc.org.uk
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Figure 1.5 Ownership of UK listed shares, end of 2016
Source: Ownership of UK Quoted Shares 2016, Table 4, Office for National Statistics, 29 November 2017. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
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Exerting control over directors
Two main approaches available to shareholders:
Linking directors remuneration to share performance
Monitoring directors actions and controlling their use of business resources
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Figure 1.6 The main forms of shareholder activism
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UK Stewardship Code
establishing policies relating to stewardship and voting procedures, along with their periodic reporting
checking on investee businesses
deciding when stewardship activities should be intensified and when to act in concert with other shareholders
disclosing conflicts of interest arising from stewardship activities and how they are resolved
Relates to financial institutions:
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Coming Next…
4pm to 5pm – Introduction to the business simulation
5pm to 5.30pm – Break (Read the Enron article if you have not already done so)
5.30pm to 7.00pm – Financial Statements
7.00pm to 8.00pm – Simulation practice round in groups
8pm to 8.30pm – Live Q&A and feedback on simulation
8.30pm – Finish!
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making
Welcome to Week 1.3!
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Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
What are the three main financial statements?
Ask the class to see if they remember
3
Financial Statements
Statement of Financial Position
A summary at a fixed point in time;
Assets, liabilities and equity.
Statement of Profit or Loss
Data for a period of time (accounting period);
Shows income and expenditure for that period.
Cash Flow
Data for a period of time (accounting period);
Shows cash in and outflows for that period.
Not profit
Learning Outcomes
Consider how management make business decisions
Look at the role of financial statements in decision making
Prepare projected financial statements
Consider how they can be adapted for uncertainty
Start to investigate how gearing impacts risks and return.
Natalie’s Restaurant
I set up a restaurant club.
On Thursday I spend £60 on ingredients.
I also spend £20 on new tablecloths which I can use for the foreseeable future.
On Friday I cook a meal with ¾ of the ingredients and charge 10 people £15 each for dinner.
An example of putting together a simple set of financial statements
6
What are my cash flows?
My initial funding | £80 | |
Money from the customers (£15×10) | £150 | |
Cash inflow | £230 | |
Money spent on ingredients | £60 | |
Money spent on tablecloths | £20 | |
Cash outflow | £(80) | |
Net Cash | £150 | |
Cash balance at start | £0 | |
Net cash inflow | £150 | |
Cash balance at end | £150 |
What is my profit?
Sales revenue (£15 x 10) | £150 | |
Cost of goods sold (3/4 of ingredients) | £(45) | |
Profit | £105 |
What is my financial position?
Tablecloths | £20 | |
Cash | £150 | |
Stock (unused food) | £15 | |
Assets | £185 | |
Equity (initial funding of £80 + profit £105) | £185 |
The Finance Function Contd.
To carry out the aforementioned functions requires managers to undertake a number of tasks namely:
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This session we are focussed on the first of the main finance functions – planning
10
Financial Planning
Investment Project Appraisal
Financing Decisions
Capital Market Operations
Financial Control
Why does a business need to plan?
Ask the class – why does a business need to plan? Some ideas
So that it knows where it should be going
To decide what prices to charge so it can make a profit
So it doesn’t run out of money
To make sure all the different bits of the business are aligned
11
The Decision Making Process
5. Develop short term plans
4. Select option and consider long term plans
6. Implement the decisions
7. Review and monitor outcomes of decision
8. Act on differences from plan
2. Determine options available
1. Set aims and objective
3. Gather data and information on options
Examples of how a businesses mission (or overarching aim and objective) needs to be taken account of when financial planning
For example, compare easyjet strategy (low cost affordable) with Virgin (most loved travel company) in the context of a management team deciding whether to invest in more luxurious seats on the plane, or whether to charge travellers for inflight meals. They are both airlines, but their different strategy means that they would have different answers to these questions.
Can also link in theories or competitive advantage – Virgin would not be competing with easyjet on price
Walt Disney company strategy is around creative minds and innovative technologies, so it’s financial decisions on how much to pay staff, who to recruit and spending money on R&D will also be influenced by this
13
Today…
In the discussion today we are focussed on these two steps
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4. Develop short term plans
3. Select option and consider long term plans
Projected financial statements
Projected income statement
Projected statement of financial position (balance sheet)
Projected cash flow statement
The projected financial statements normally comprise:
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Projected financial statements look into the future and help a business to plan
15
Preparing projected financial statements
External variables:
Rate of taxation
Interest rates for borrowings
Rate of inflation
Look at external info to identify rates;
Consider inflation rates for different items.
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To prepare projections we need to start by looking at different variables, external and internal (next slide)
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Preparing projected financial statements (Continued)
Capital expenditure commitments
Financing agreements
Inventories holding policies
Payment policies for trade payables
Credit period allowed to customers
Dividend policy
Accounting policies
Internal variables:
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17
Steps in preparing projected financial statements
Step 1
Step 2
Step 3
Step 4
Identify the key variables affecting performance
Prepare sales forecasts
Prepare forecasts for remaining elements of financial statements
Prepare projected financial statements
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Specific steps to prepare projections – after variables we start with sales and then go on from there
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Why do we look at sales first?
Question for class
Answer – because sales drives most of the other elements of the statements – in determines how much we need to spend on stock, staff, how much tax we eill pay etc
19
Preparing sales forecasts
Two main approaches:
Qualitative
Quantitative
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20
Sales forecasts approaches
A qualitative approach uses subjective judgement to estimate forecasts, using for example:
Information and predictions from the sales teams
Managers opinions
Consumer surveys
A quantitative approach uses a numerical analysis based on past performance, for example:
Trend analysis
Regression analysis
Econometric models
Preparing projected financial statements
Short-term
Usually involves detailed forecasts of income, cash flows and financial position
Long-term
Usually involves making simplifying assumptions
Projected financial statements may cover a short-term or long-term horizon:
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22
Projected Cash Flow Statement
What would we use a projected cash flow for?
23
Monitor changes in liquidity;
Help management to manage the impact of events on cash;
Indicate when business may need to raise more funds;
Indicate when funds will be available for projects;
Make sure it doesn't run out of cash!
Figure 2.2 Sources of cash inflows and outflows
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Remember this statements is about cash not profit – these are some of the main sources of cash in and out flows
24
Jan £000 | Feb £000 | Mar £000 | Apr £000 | May £000 | June £000 | ||
Cash inflows | |||||||
Issue of shares | |||||||
Credit sales | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | |
____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ||
Cash outflows | |||||||
Credit purchases | |||||||
Other costs | |||||||
Rent and rates | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | |
____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ||
Net cash flow | |||||||
Opening balance | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | |
Closing balance | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ | ____ |
Projected cash flow statement for the six months to 30 June
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Example proforma of a cash flow statement – note that this is on a monthly basis. Some businesses might even do this on a weekly or daily basis as cash management is so important. Cannot just do it on an annual basis
25
Cash flow items
Example of how cash might not necessarily occur in the same month as the sale or the purchase
26
January
Buy raw materials on 30 days credit
February
Pay supplier for raw materials
CASH OUTLOW
March
Sell product on 30 days credit
April
Recive cash for product
CASH INFLOW
£000 | £000 | |
Credit sales revenue | ||
Less Cost of sales | ||
Opening inventories | ||
Add Purchases | ____ | |
Less Closing inventories | ____ | ____ |
Gross profit | ||
Less | ||
Credit card discounts | ||
Rent and rates | ||
Other costs | ||
Depreciation of fittings | ____ | |
Profit for the period | ____ |
Projected income statement for the six months to 30 June
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Example of projected income statement
27
£000 | |
ASSETS | |
Non-current assets | |
Fittings | |
Less Accumulated depreciation | _____ |
_____ | |
Current assets | |
Inventories | |
Trade receivables | _____ |
_____ | |
Total assets | _____ |
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | |
Equity | |
Share capital | |
Retained earnings | _____ |
_____ | |
Current liabilities | |
Trade payables | |
Bank overdraft | _____ |
_____ | |
Total equity and liabilities | _____ |
Projected statement of financial position as at 30 June
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Figure 2.4 Variance between actual performance and forecast performance
Source: KPMG (2016) Forecasting with confidence, KPMG, p. 41 Reprinted with permission from Parker Scott.
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Just to illustrate that very few companies get projections spot on – all kinds of things could happen that means there is a divergence from projections.
29
Forecast financial statements and decision making
What underlying assumptions have been made and are they valid?
Have all relevant items been included?
How were the projections developed?
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As a manager if we are presented with a set of projections, what questions should we ask our team to determine the reliability of the statements and what questions do we ask to see what kind of decisions would flow from these?
30
Forecast financial statements and decision making (Continued)
Is there a need for additional financing? Is it feasible to obtain the amount required?
Can any surplus funds be profitably reinvested?
Are the cash flows satisfactory? Can they be improved by changing policies or plans?
Is the level of projected profit satisfactory in relation to the risks involved? If not, what could be done to improve matters?
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31
Forecast financial statements and decision making (Continued)
Are the sales and individual expense items at a satisfactory level?
Is the financial position at the end of the period acceptable?
Is the level of borrowing acceptable? Is the business too dependent on borrowing?
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32
Projected financial statements and risk
Scenario analysis
Sensitivity analysis
Risk assessment may be undertaken using
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As financial projections are forward looking we might want to test out how much it would affect the business if they are wrong – this can be done with these methods
33
Sensitivity Analysis
Take a single variable and examine the effect of changes in that variable on overall performance
Shows how sensitive changes are for the projected outcome.
What happens if sales are 5% lower/higher?
What if sales price could be increased by 20%?
BUT – does not assign probability or consider changes to more than one variable at a time.
Scenario Analysis
Prepare projected statements according to different states of the world:
Optimistic view
Pessimistic view
"Most likely" view
Can change more than one variable
Does not identify likelihood of each occurring.
Practice Question
If we have time this is an example that can be done in class or students can practice and home and the answer will be posted on weblearn
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What’s Next…
Today
7.30pm 8.30pm – Business Simulation Round 1
8.30pm – Finish!
For next week:
Review Weblearn for additional reading and exercises
Read Atrill Ch 3
Consider: One advantage of using financial ratios is that the eliminate problems in comparing businesses of different sizes. Why might this be helpful to an investor?
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making
2.3 Working Capital Management
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Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
Learning Outcomes
Identify the main elements of working capital
Discuss the purpose of working capital and the nature of the working capital cycle
Explain the importance of establishing policies for the control of working capital
Explain the factors that have to be taken into account when managing each element of working capital
What are the components of working capital?
The nature and purpose of working capital
Major elements
Major elements
Inventories
Trade receivables
Cash (in hand and at bank)
Trade payables
less
equals
Current liabilities
Working capital
Current assets
Bank overdrafts
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Figure 10.1 The working capital cycle
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Cash is used to pay trade payables for raw materials, or raw materials are bought for immediate cash settlement. Cash is also spent on labour and other items that turn raw materials into work in progress and, finally, into finished goods. The finished goods are sold to customers either for cash or on credit. In the case of credit customers, there will be a delay before the cash is received from the sales. Receipt of cash completes the cycle.
What can change amount or split of working capital?
Seasonality of business
Market demand
External economic factors
Changes in manufacturing technique
Interest rates
Change in attitude towards risk
Figure 10.2 Average investment (in days) for the main working capital elements
Trade receivables settlement period
Inventories turnover period
Trade payables settlement period
Days
0
40
20
60
50
30
10
47.9
48.1
41.0
51.9
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
51.8
54.0
56.4
58.9
53.1
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
58.2
58.8
60.4
62.9
68.0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
67.7
70
Source: Compiled from information in ‘Navigating uncertainty: PwC's annual global working capital study’, 2018/19, www.pwc.com.
80
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Inventories
Opportunity cost
Finance cost
Storage and handling
Order costs
Obsolescence
Lost sales
Goodwill
Lost production
Inventories financing cost
Business | Type of operations | Cost of capital | Average inventories held | Financing cost of holding inventories | Operating profit/ (loss) | Financing cost as % of operating profit/(loss) |
(a) | (b) | (a) × (b) | ||||
% | % | |||||
Associated British Foods | Food producer | 14.2 | £2,144m | £304.4m | £1,404m | 21.7 |
BT Group | Telecoms | 8.4 | £233m | £19.5m | £20,342m | 0.1 |
Go-Ahead | Transport | 5.2 | £17m | £0.9m | £161m | 0.6 |
Kingfisher | DIY | 10.1 | £2,437m | £246.1m | £685m | 35.9 |
Tesco | Supermarket | 9.5 | £2,282m | £216.8m | £1,837m | 11.8 |
Source: Annual reports of the businesses for the years ended during 2018.
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Managing inventories
Forecasting future demand
Financial ratios
Recording and reordering systems
Inventories management models
Enterprise resource planning (ERP) system
Levels of control
Just-in-time (JIT) inventories management
Procedures and techniques that can be used to ensure the proper management of inventories
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1. Forecasting future demand
2. Financial ratios
Average inventories turnover period
Average inventories held Cost of sales
=
× 365
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3. Recording and reordering systems
Checks and procedures
Authorisation
Buffers
Lead time
4. Levels of Control
Figure 10.4 ABC method of analysing and controlling inventories
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Category A contains inventories that, though relatively few in quantity, account for a large proportion of the total value. Category B inventories consist of those items that are less valuable but more numerous. Category C comprises those inventories items that are very numerous but relatively low in value. Different inventories’ control rules would be applied to each category. For example, only Category A inventories would attract the more expensive and sophisticated
controls.
5. Inventories Management Models
Figure 10.5 Patterns of inventories movements over time
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Here, we assume that there is a constant rate of usage of the inventories item and that inventories are reduced to 0 just as new inventories arrive. At time 0, there is a full level of inventories. This is steadily used as time passes and just as it falls to 0 it is replaced. This pattern is then repeated.
5. Inventories Management Models
Figure 10.6 Inventories holding and order costs
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Small inventories levels imply frequent reordering and high annual ordering costs. Small inventories levels also imply relatively low inventories holding costs. High inventories levels imply exactly the opposite. There is, in theory, an optimum order size that will lead to the sum of ordering and holding costs (total costs) being at a minimum.
The economic order quantity (EOQ) model
Where:
D = the annual demand for the inventories item (expressed in units of the inventory item);
C = the cost of placing an order;
H = the cost of holding one unit of the inventories item for one year
EOQ
=
2DC
H
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6. Enterprise Resource Planning Systems
Integrated software systems
Can manage inventory, logistics, pricing
Can be very expensive
7. Just-in-time inventories management
May result in hidden costs (taking advantage of cheap sources of supply)
Requires close relationship with suppliers
May require re-engineering production process
Can be seen as part of TQM approach
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Toyota Production System ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFu4FFgbMY4&t=1s)
Demand (units)
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Category Z
Category Y
Category X
Figure 10.7 Patterns of inventories demand
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Managing trade receivables
Which customers should receive credit
Questions to ask
How much credit should be offered
What length of credit it is prepared to offer
Whether discounts will be offered for prompt payment
What collection policies should be adopted
How the risk of non-payment can be reduced
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What might you look at to determine whether you will offer credit to a particular customer?
Managing trade receivables
Which customers should receive credit
Questions to ask
How much credit should be offered
What length of credit it is prepared to offer
Whether discounts will be offered for prompt payment
What collection policies should be adopted
How the risk of non-payment can be reduced
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The five Cs of credit
Capital
Capacity
Collateral
Conditions
Character
Which customers should receive credit?
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Sources of credit information
Bank references
Published financial statements
Trade references
Credit agencies
Register of County Court Judgements
The customer
Other suppliers
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Length of credit period
The typical credit terms operating within the industry
The degree of competition within the industry
The bargaining power of particular customers
The risk of non-payment
The capacity of the business to offer credit
The marketing strategy of the business
May be influenced by:
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Collection policies
Publicise credit terms
Issue invoices promptly
Develop customer relationships
Produce an ageing schedule of receivables
Answer queries quickly
Monitor outstanding debts
Deal with slow payers
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Financial ratios
Average settlement period for trade receivables
=
Average trade receivables Credit sales
× 365
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Financial ratios (Continued)
Trade receivables to sales
=
Trade receivables outstanding Sales revenue for period
× 365
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Ageing schedule of trade receivables at 31 December
Customer | Days | outstanding | Total | ||
1 to 30 days | 31 to 60 days | 61 to 90 days | More than 90 days | ||
£ | £ | £ | £ | £ | |
A Ltd | 12,000 | 13,000 | 14,000 | 18,000 | 57,000 |
B Ltd | 20,000 | 10,000 | – | – | 30,000 |
C Ltd | – | 24,000 | – | – | 24,000 |
Total | 32,000 | 47,000 | 14,000 | 18,000 | 111,000 |
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Figure 10.9 Comparison of actual and expected (target) receipts over time for Example 10.5
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It can be seen that 30 per cent of the sales income for June is received in that month; the remainder is received in the following three months. The expected (target) pattern of cash receipts for June sales, which has been assumed, is also depicted. By comparing the actual and expected pattern of receipts, it is possible to see whether credit sales are being properly controlled and to decide whether corrective action is required.
Why does a business hold cash?
Should it hold as much cash as possible?
Why hold cash?
There are three reasons:
To meet day-to-day commitments
To deal with uncertain cash flows
To exploit profitable opportunities
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Factors influencing the amount of cash held
The opportunity cost of holding cash
The level of inflation
The nature of the business
The cost of borrowing
Economic conditions
The availability of near-liquid assets
Relationships with suppliers
The availability of borrowing
Possible factors may include:
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Managing cash
Main techniques
Preparing projected cash flow statements
Controlling the cash balance (using control limits)
Managing the operating cash cycle
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Figure 10.10 Controlling the cash balance
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Management sets the upper and lower limits for the business’s cash balance. When the balance goes beyond either of these limits, unless it is clear that the balance will return fairly quickly to within the limit, action will need to be taken. If the upper limit is breached, some cash will be placed on deposit or used to buy some marketable securities. If the lower limit is breached, the business will need to borrow some cash or sell some securities.
Figure 10.11 The operating cash cycle
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The OCC is the time lapse between paying for goods and receiving the cash from the sale of those goods. The length of the OCC has a significant impact on the amount of funds that the business needs to apply to working capital.
Figure 10.12 Calculating the operating cash cycle
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For businesses that buy and sell on credit, three ratios are required to calculate the OCC.
Figure 10.13 The average OCC of businesses categorised according to size
Revenues <€500m
Revenues between €500m and €1bn
Revenues >€1bn
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Net working capital days
60
80
40
0
2013
2015
2016
2014
66
41
80
68
40
84
69
41
85
67
42
88
100
2017
67
42
88
Source: Compiled from information in ‘Navigating uncertainty: PwC's annual global working capital study’, 2018/19, www.wpc.com, p. 17.
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Managing Trade Payables
Remember – one business’s trade receivable is another business’s trade payable…
Admin expenses of tracking payables dates;
Goodwill;
Prompt payments discounts – the other side;
Monitor through average settlement period for trade payables.
Discussion question
How might each of these affect levels of inventory held by a business?
Increase in number of production bottlenecks
Rise in business cost of capital
Decision to offer a narrower range of products
A switch of suppliers from overseas to local
Deterioration in quality and reliability of bought in components.
What’s Next…
7.30pm 8.30pm – Business Simulation Round 3
8.30pm – Finish!
For next time:
Business Simulation round 3 submitted by 3pm Friday 16th December
Business Simulation round 4 submitted by 3pm Sunday 8th January 2023
Assessment 1 – Thursday 12th January 2022
Review Weblearn for extended learning questions
Read Atrill Ch 4&5
Consider: In respect of a business you have worked in or know well, can you think of significant capital investment decisions that company has had to make?
Have a lovely break!
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making
3.3 Financing a business (continued)
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Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
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What sources or types of finance are available to a company?
Insert footer / references if needed
Reminder from last week – what can the students remember about sources/types of finance?
3
Figure 6.1 The major external sources of finance
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A reminder
4
What might a bank consider before lending money to a company?
Question for class – what would a bank look at in a potential loan?
5
Bank lending
Attitude of lenders influenced by:
Cash-generating ability
Security for the loan
Profitability
Fixed cost commitments
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Lender will look at the profitability of the company, cash flows and whether there is any security available for the loan.
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What can banks do to reduce risk?
Loan covenants may deal with such matters as:
Other borrowings
Dividend payments
Financial statements
Liquidity
Requiring security (fixed or floating charge on assets)
Including covenants in the loan contract
Lenders may reduce the risk of lending by
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Examples of how bank reduce risk. They can take a security over a specific asset or assets in general (floating) like a mortgage, or they can put covenants into the loan agreement. Covenants tend to put restrictions on how a company will behave in order to protect the bank’s interests e.g. they need to provide the financial statements to the bank immediately after year end or they need to keep liquidity at a certain level, or they have restrictions on the dividend payments that can be made. If a company breaks covenants the bank can ask for the loan to be repaid immediately.
7
Figure 6.3 Factors influencing the attitude of owners towards borrowing
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These are some of the factors that can influence how the company feels about borrowing as a source of finance. It tends to have a lower return requirement than more risky equity finance and means that the existing owners do not need to give up ownership of the company (dilution of shareholdings). It can also be flexible (often loans have a draw down facility so that company’s only need to take the loan when they need it) and having a third party involved can encourage better financial discipline in the company. However, the company needs to be aware of how much capacity they have to take on extra debt – is the company already very highly geared and therefore lenders may be less disposed to lending more money due to risk?
8
Figure 6.1 The major external sources of finance
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There are other external sources of finance that a company can tap into. The next is finance leases, HP and securitisation
9
Figure 6.5 Benefits of finance leasing
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If a company for example wants to buy a fixed asset it could take out a loan and buy the asset. A finance lease on the other hand is where the financial institution buys the asset and rents it to the company, so the company never owns it. Often this can be easier than arranging a loan, it improves the company cash flows as the cost of the machine is spread across it’s life rather than all paid out to acquire the machine, and it gives flexibility e.g. if the company wants to upgrade to a better machine they don’t have to go through the bother of selling the original.
10
Figure 6.6 The hire purchase process
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HP is very similar – the financial institution buys the machine and the customer makes regular payments to the financial institution over the life of the asset. However, generally an HP agreements has a clause such that the company ends up owning the asset after a final payment is made.
11
Figure 6.7 The securitisation process
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Securitisation is where a company creates a special purpose vehicle (SPV) which is usually a trust or a company, bundles up some assets and transfers them into the SPV and then issues bonds from the SPV to third parties. The assets in the SPV generate income which is then used to pay the interest on the bonds. It is a way generating capital from a bundle of assets and can be sued for example with a bunch of intangible assets such as licenses or IP. However this is similar to what happened during the financial crisis in 2008 when banks were bundling up bad mortgages and then selling bonds off the back of these bundles.
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Figure 6.1 The major external sources of finance
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We can also consider short term external finance. A bank overdraft is fairly self explanatory – it is a short term loan which can be very flexible but may also be more expansive than properly arranging a loan facility with the bank. Bills of exchange are short term IOUs.
13
Figure 6.8 The factoring process
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Debt factoring is particularly popular with small businesses. Where a company supplies goods to customers on credit, it can enter into an arrangement with a financial institution or factor. The factor is responsible for invoicing the customer and pays 80% of the value of the invoice to the company immediately. Therefore the company does not need to wait until the credit period is up to get payment from customers. The factor then chases the customer for payment and when they pay the factor transfer the remaining 20% to the company less its factoring fees. This can be really useful for small companies who do not have a debt chasing department as it takes away all of that administrative work. However, it may also to signal to customers that the company is short of funding.
14
Debt factoring
Two types
Recourse factoring – where the business assumes responsibility for bad debts
Non-recourse factoring – where the factor assumes responsibility for bad debts
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Debt factoring can also be recourse – so if the debt factor does not get paid by the customer they can reclaim the money from the original company or non recourse where the debt factor bears the risk of an unpaid invoice – this is obviously preferable to the company but tends to be more expensive.
15
Invoice discounting
Charges are lower
It is confidential
Invoice discounting is often preferred to debt factoring because:
Control over all aspects of customer relationship is retained
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Invoice discounting is similar but the factor does not take over responsibility for issuing the invoice and chasing the debt – that remains with the original company, but the debt factor advances the money to the original company. This can be used when companies want to maintain control over their debt chasing
16
Long-term versus short-term borrowing
Considerations
Flexibility
Refunding risk
Matching borrowing with assets held
Interest rates
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Companies clearly have a choice between different methods of funding, some of which are long term and some short term. In deciding which is the most appropriate they might consider matching to borrowing with the asset – e.g. if it is for a long term capital investment project it might be best to look at a long term loan, rather than a bank overdraft. However if it is for a short term boost in stock they might go for a short term method such as bank overdraft. Short term finance can often be more flexible – the ability to repay an overdraft which you cannot necessarily do with a loan until it becomes due. Refunding risk occurs if a lender calls back the loan before maturity and the borrower cannot find a loan with a similar rate of interest and interest rates themselves might determine whether to do for short or long term, or equity v debt
17
Figure 6.10 Short-term and long-term financing requirements
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A typical; example of how short and long term financing might look might be to have a level of long term finance that covers both fixed assets and the permanent level of current assets e.g, the amount of stock that usually needs to be held. Short term finance is then used to finance any fluctuations in current assets.
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Figure 6.11 The major internal sources of finance
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We have looked so far only at external finance. However there are ways of generating finance without needing to go to third parties. On a short term basis reducing stock, collecting receivables and extending the period for trade payables will provide some financing. Ona long term kevel companies can choose to re-invest retained profits, however, always considering the impact of reinvestment on shareholder wealth.
19
Pecking order theory and long-term financing
Retained profits will be used to finance the business if possible
Where retained profits are insufficient, or unavailable, loan capital will be used
Where loan capital is insufficient, or unavailable, share capital will be used
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One final theory about how business use finance is Pecking order Theory. This states that businesses when requiring finding will first use retained profits as they are quick and easy to access, the loan capital as it is again relatively quick and more certain and finally share capital as this is the hardest and most costly to raise.
20
The funding journey
In the next section e are going to look specially at funding for start up and early stage companies and where they might go to raise finance.
21
Start ups
How does a start up raise initial funding – can you guess from the pictures. Answers clockwise from top left:
Friend and family
Seed money/venture capital
Bank loans
Grants or government incentives
Crowdfunding
Business angels
22
Figure 7.5 Long-term finance for smaller businesses
Business angels
Financing smaller businesses
Crowdfunding
Government
Alternative investment market
Venture capital
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Hotel Chocolat (Video) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOcxf7kL8VQ
Video about how Hotel Chocolat raised initial funding – in particular I like to discuss with the class the innovation behind the Chocolate Bond and how they effectively self financed market research through the Chocolate club. You don’t need to watch the whole video – I generally stop it around 3:52.
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Private equity – types of investment
Expansion capital
Venture capital
Replacement capital
Buy-out and buy-in capital
Rescue capital
One course of funding for early stage, particularly tech companies is private equity. Private Equity refers to funds put together by financial institutions and generally funded by High Net Worth Individuals who invest in private companies. Private Equity covers a lot of different capital at different stages, but the most relevant for small companies is venture capital. This is private investment in early stage businesses who have the potential to grow. It can range from hundreds of thousands to millions and the fund will take a reasonable large slide of shares for the funding as it tends to be high risk. As businesses grow there are other forms of private equity available e.g expansion if the company is trying to grow or expand into a new jurisdiction, replacement capital where one fund buys out another, buy out capital which is provided if a management team want to buy the company from the existing owners or rescue capital for businesses in trouble.
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This is a flier prepared by PwC to help companies understand what Venture capital firms are looking for when they consider an investment.
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Problems of smaller businesses in raising finance
Lack of financial management skills
Lack of knowledge concerning the availability of finance
Inability to meet assessment criteria of lenders
Bureaucratic screening processes
Inability to provide security
To sum up, some of the issues around smaller businesses raising capital – there is generally a lack of time and specific finance skills to understand where and how to raise capital as it can take a lot of time to secure a venture capital investment or a bank loan. Small business, particularly tech companies do not tend to have fixed assets they can offer as security and may not have much of track record or prior financial statements to convince lenders or inventors and for years many banks had quite bureaucratic screening processes which put small companies at a disadvantage.
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Figure 7.9: External financing of small businesses (2017/18)
Bank loan/ commercial mortgage
Credit cards
Loans from other third parties
Grants
Invoice finance
Bank overdraft
Leasing or hire purchase
Loans/equity from directors, family, friends
Per cent
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Source: British Business Bank 2017/18 (2018), ‘Small business finance markets (February)'. Figure B.16, p. 25, Used with permission.
Overall, small businesses tend to rely on credit cards and bank overdrafts to get the business operational, but for those who have the potential for growth, seed funding, crowd funding or business angels may be available.
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Cost of Capital
In the next section we are going to look at the cost of the capital we have been discussing in the financing section.
30
What is cost of capital?
The cost to the business to of the finance needed.
Businesses tend to be financed through a mixture of equity (shareholder funds) or debt (bonds or borrowings from a bank, financial institution).
Shareholders will only invest if the business is likely to generate the return required by them. This is linked to the risk they perceive in the business and the opportunity cost of investing elsewhere. Therefore the cost of equity is the shareholders required return.
Banks or financial institutions require return in the form of interest on borrowings
The combined cost of these required returns is a company’s Cost of Capital
Video
Investopedia Cost of Capital explained
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/costofcapital.asp
Why do we need to know cost of capital?
It indicates the return required by shareholders and banks in order to provide funding
The cost of capital is therefore used as the discount rate for NPV;
If understated, may accept projects which decrease shareholder wealth;
If overstated may reject projects that would increase wealth.
What is cost of capital? Ultimately it is the cost of all the company’s funding, both debt and equity as all types of funding carries a cost. However, it can be easier to think about it from the other angle – it is the return that a company needs to generate in order to satisfy the requirements of its debt and equity funders. If it cannot generate this return then they will not provide the funding to the company, therefore it doesn’t represent a cost in cash terms, but a return that the company needs to achieve
Practically speaking the cost of capital is the discount rate we use when we are calculating the Net present Value of a project. If we get it wrong we might make an incorrect decision. If we pick a rate that is too low we may go ahead with project that do not achieve the required return and therefore decrease shareholder value. If we get it too high we may reject projects that would otherwise have been wealth enhancing.
So far you have been given the discount rate or cost of capital but now we are going ton work out how to calculate it ourselves. The steps we take are to look at each form of long term capital, work out the cost of that particular type of capita and then calculate an overall cost for the business.
33
Steps to calculate cost of capital
Identify each form of long term capital
Deduce the cost of each form of capital
Determine value of each form of long term capital;
Calculate an overall cost of capital.
The steps we take are to look at each form of long term capital, work out the cost of that particular type of capita and then calculate an overall cost for the business.
34
Cost of capital
The major forms of external long-term capital
Ordinary shares
Loan capital
Retained earnings
In addition an important form of internal long-term capital is:
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These are the 3 types of capital which we can calculate the cost of capital on. Next week we will look at how you deduce the cost of capital for each of these elements of long term finance
35
What’s Next…
Next week:
Session 4.1: Assessment 1 presentations
Session 4.2: Weighted Average Cost of Capital & Business simulation round 6
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making
1.2 Reviewing financial statements
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Lecture recordings
This session is being recorded
You can access the weekly recording from Weblearn
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Week 1.2 – Learning Outcomes
Explain the key statements within a company’s Financial Statements;
Describe the main users of financial statements and why they would use them;
Debate the limitations of financial statements
Agency & Stakeholder Theory – Enron
Who is responsible for the collapse of Enron?
What steps could be, or have been, taken to prevent this sort of failure in the future?
I asked the students to read the Enron article as part of pre course reading. This discussion is a general discussion on what went wrong and what mechanism should have, and have now been put in place to stop this happening again. Get thoughts from students before moving onto suggested answers
4
Who is to blame?
The business environment – rapid growth
The CFO/CEO – set up the structure to enable fraudulent accounting (hiding debts/losses), failed to maintain control of operations
Executives – exercised share options at inflated share prices
The Board – pursued rapid growth and lost strategic focus
Audit committee – did not understand or question the complexity of the business
Auditors – close relationship, income from consultancy, failure to interrogate management
Stock analysts – had conflict of interest with investment banking side of their firm
What steps could be taken to prevent this happening?
Accounting for the substance not the form of the transaction (changes to accounting standards)
Stricter rules around audits
Independence of audit firms and investment banks
Independence of regulatory bodies – harsher penalties?
Stricter rules on director duties
More protection for whistleblowers
Embedding a culture of ethics
Independent audit committees and appointment of those with relevant skills
Types of business
Main types of business
Sole trader
Partnership
Company/corporation
In the UK we have
Sole trader
Partnership
Limited Liability Partnership (LLP)
Private company (Ltd)
Public Company (Plc)
We also have special designations e.g.:
Charities
Place of business
B Corp
Community Amateur Sports Club (CASC)
Introduction to types of business structures in the UK
7
Example Ownership Structure
Nat’s International Company Ltd
Investment Company Plc
70 shares = 70%
20 shares = 20%
10 shares = 10%
This is to break down in simple terms how a company issues shares to owners.
I set up Nat’s company with £20 and issue myself 20 shares of £1 each. At that stage I own 100% of the 20 shares in issue so I am the sole shareholder.
A friend offers to invest £70 in exchange for 70 shares and a separate investment company invests £10 in exchange for 10 shares. Now the ownership structure consist of 100 shares, of which I own 70 so I own 70% of the company.
I use the analogy of a pizza to describe this – the pizza is the whole company, but I can divide it up into as many slices as I like. People take a slice in exchange for putting money into the business. A pizza could have 4 slices (or shares) or 1 million slices and the amount of slices you hold indicates the level of influence you may have over the company.
8
Public v Private Companies
Company X
Management
Employees
Banks
Customers
Suppliers
General Public?
Shareholders
General Public
Introducing the concept of private companies – companies where shares can be issued to and traded by members of the general public
9
Public or Private Company
A private company (in the UK a Ltd) is held privately, usually by founders or other private individual investors.
The general public cannot buy or sell shares in Limited
May invite specific people to invest (e.g. a Private Equity Fund or Business Angel)
Does not appear on a Stock Exchange
A public company (in the UK a Plc) has sold some or all of its shares to the general public by way of an Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Listed on a stock exchange
Public can buy and sell shares on investment platforms
Has a higher level of scrutiny
Public or Private Company
Public companies tend to be larger and have more access to funding, but there are some very large private companies
Examples of large private companies – private companies does not necessarily correlate to small company
11
What is accounting?
A process of identifying, recording summarizing and reporting economic information or transactions to decision makers and stakeholders in the form of financial statements
There is a difference between financial accounting and management accounting
The accounting system is the steps performed to analyze, record, quantify and report economic events and their effects on an organization. It must be designed to meet the needs of the users
Insert footer / references if needed
Reiterating the role of accounting as taking many economic transactions in a business and presenting them in a way that is understandable, allowing management to make decisions and allowing interested parties to compare different businesses in the understanding that the companies will have applied standard principles to organising their transactions into this format.
12
What are Financial Statements?
Record of the company’s performance (in the form of economic information or transactions);
Key statements
Statement of financial position (balance sheet);
Profit or loss (income) statement;
Statement of cash flows.
A historical record of past events;
Numerical data and explanatory notes;
Publicly available in the UK
Video – what are financial statements?
Video is halfway down the linked page – you can show in class or the students can review later
Financial Statements: List of Types and How to Read Them (investopedia.com)
13
The Annual Report and Accounts
All UK companies are required to prepare accounts and file with UK Companies House ( https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/companies-house);
If a business is not a company they will still draw up financial statements;
Companies must draw up accounts based on UK GAAP or IFRS;
All UK companies require an audit unless subject to exemption (e.g. certain small co’s);
Additional publication requirements for public companies.
Emphasise just how much information is publicly available in the UK – all UK company must prepare accounts and submit to Companies House and anyone can view – different in other jurisdictions – the US does not require private companies to make these publicly available.
14
Financial Statements
Statement of Financial Position
A summary at a fixed point in time;
Assets, liabilities and equity.
Statement of Profit or Loss
Data for a period of time (accounting period);
Shows income and expenditure for that period.
Cash Flow
Data for a period of time (accounting period);
Shows cash in and outflows for that period.
Not profit
Financial Statements Cycle
12 month period
12 month period
12 month period
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Statement of Financial Position
Statement of Financial Position
Statement of Financial Position
Statement of Financial Position
Emphasising that the Statement of financial position bookends the period
16
Who might use financial statements?
Question for the class – get their ideas on who might use them
17
Users of financial statements
This page can be used if you want to write up the students ideas on who the users might be or you can do it as a discussion
18
Pick a user – what might they use the financial statements for?
Class input – why might people use the statements – this might have been discussed in the previous slide
19
Who uses financial statements and why?
Current/potential investors
Employees
Lenders
Suppliers
Customers
Government and regulators
The public
Will I get paid?
Is the company meeting its company law and regulatory requirements?
What is the environmental and social impact of the company?
What level of profit did the company make?
Will the company be able to repay borrowings?
How much tax should the company pay?
Is the company in danger of insolvency?
Can the company continue to supply my goods?
Should I invest more/sell shares?
Is the company managed effectively?
Is the company growing?
Some ideas of users and what they use them for
20
Some key terms…
Revenue: Sales made to customers
Cost of goods sold: the cost of making the sales
Operating expenses: the cost of marketing the product or administering the business
Profit: Excess of revenue (sales, turnover) over expenditure (costs of good sold and operating expenses)
Assets: Business resources that the company owns or has use of
Equity: the investment or “stake” of the owner, the owner’s value in the business (initial investment in shares, retailed profits)
Inventory: Stock, goods for resale, raw materials
Receivables: money owed to the business
Payables: money the business owes to others
Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet)
Purpose of the balance sheet
The purpose of the balance sheet is to set out the financial position of a business at a particular point in time, the economic resources (assets) it controls and where its finance comes from (liabilities and equity).
It sets out the assets of the business and the claims against it (liabilities and owners’ equity) at a particular point in time.
What types of assets might you find in a business?
Ask the class to see if they can guess the assets that the pictures are clues to:
Cash
Property
Machinery
Inventory/stock/raw materials
Brand names or intangible assets
24
Merlin Entertainments Ltd – statement of financial position
An example of a statement of financial position – Merlin owns and operates theme parks around the world – I usually highlight the property, intangible assets, inventories etc
25
Types of assets
Current
Held for sale or consumption
Lifespan of a year of less
Held principally for trading
Cash or liquid short term investments
Non Current
Held for longer term
Business may be done in or with them (i.e. not consumed)
Tangible and intangible
Figure 2.3 The circulating nature of current assets
Cash
Trade receivables
Inventories
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Circular nature of current assets – business uses cash to buy stock which it then sells for cash immediately (or cash to be received in the future – trade receivable)
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Intangible assets
Goodwill:
Represents for example brand name, strong management team, business contacts, staff relations
Not possible to identify created goodwill separately from the business – subjective so cannot be recorded.
Purchased goodwill = price paid – (fair value of the assets – liabilities) – objective so can be recorded.
Subject to annual impairment review
Other intangibles:
For example, trademarks, patents.
Stated at cost and amortised over useful economic life
Typical assets
Land and buildings,
Machinery and equipment,
Fixtures and fittings,
Debtors (receivables),
Investments
Cash
Inventory
What is depreciation?
Depreciation
Depreciation is the allowance for wear and tear on some fixed assets like, plant and machinery. It is an allowance for:
Wearing out,
Consumption or
other reductions in the useful economic life of a fixed asset,
NOT A CASH FLOW!!!!
Accumulated depreciation shows amount that the asset has lost in value since its purchase
You can depreciate on a straight line or a reducing balance (%) method.
Claims
Equity
The owner’s claim against the business.
Ordinary shares plus reserves
Capital.
Separate legal identity
Liabilities
Other parties
For example, money owed for raw materials, upfront customer prepayments
Types of claim
Current
Settled in a year or less
Arise from trading
Non Current
Held for longer term
May not arise from trading
(e.g. long term bank loan)
Typical claims
Long term loans
Wages payable
Deposits received
Trade creditors
Loans and debentures
Bank overdraft
The accounting equation
Liabilities
Assets
Equity
=
+
The beauty of double entry accounting! The statement of financial position will always balance = assets must equal equity + liabilitirs
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The effect of trading transactions on the accounting equation
The accounting equation can be extended as follows:
Profit (Loss)
Assets
Equity
Liabilities
=
+
+ (−)
The income statement (profit & loss account)
Profit (or loss) for the period = Total revenue for the period – Total expenses incurred in generating that revenue
What types of income might we have in a business?
Ask the class if they can guess the types of revenue a business might have:
Sales of goods (e.g. a supermarket)
Sales of subscriptions (Netflix, a gym)
Financial income (e.g. bank interest, or income from share investments)
Income from licencing (e.g. Disney might allow someone to use the image of Mickey Mouse on a pencil case and they pay to use that right)
Sales of services (e.g. an accountant or lawyers)
Rent (e.g. hotels renting rooms, or a landlord renting a property)
I like to compare how businesses have evolved their sales models e.g. Blockbuster video (sale/rental or physical product and late fees) v Netflix (subscriptions to view licecnced content)
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Expenses
Ask the class if they can guess the types of revenue a business might have:
People, wages, salaries
Light and heat
Phone
Computing or cloud services (AWS)
Delivery costs
Rent of property or office
Raw materials
40
Figure 3.2
The layout of the income statement
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41
How does Twitter make money?
This made me laugh – when Elon Musk bought Twitter he had to figure out how to make money from it and introduced the idea of paying for the blue tick. Lots of people complained, including the esteemed author Stephen King and Elon replied to that seemingly negotiating the price. I’m not sure how much product pricing is determined live online with Stephen King, but clearly some is!
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How does Twitter make money?
How does Twitter make money though? It is free to users, so they are not asking for payment from users. Most of its money is made through advertising. Other companies pay Twitter to promote ads. Some money is also made by selling or licencing the data it collects to other companies who are interested in that data
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How does Twitter make money?
In 2021 Twitter received revenue or sales of $4.5bn from advertising and $0.5bn from licencing data. Ask students to consider how business they use actually generate cash from sales? Will Twitter need to find a new model e.g. payment for users? Even though it made that money in sales in 2020 and 2021 it made a loss – revenue is not profit. Can a business survive if it continually makes a loss? Yes provided that people are willing to invest money, but when they are not and the cash runs out the business will fail. Lack of profits is not the ultimate killer of businesses it is lack of cash.
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The cash flow statement
Figure 5.3
Standard presentation for the statement of cash flows
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Cash is not profit!!!
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Operating examples
Profit | Cash | |
Receiving a loan from the bank | ||
Profitable sale for cash | ||
Profitable sale on credit | ||
Buying a machine for cash | ||
Depreciation of the machine | ||
Buying inventory (stock) for cash | ||
Issuing shares to investors for cash |
Operating examples
Profit | Cash | |
Receiving a loan from the bank | None | Increase |
Profitable sale for cash | Increase | Increase |
Profitable sale on credit | Increase | None |
Buying a machine for cash | None | Increase |
Depreciation of the machine | Decrease | None |
Buying inventory (stock) for cash | None | Decrease |
Issuing shares to investors for cash | None | Increase |
Financial Management
Also called cost and management accounting;
Using financial data to help make business decisions;
Fundamental qualities of financial information:
Relevant
Timely
Understandable
Comparable
Verifiable
We’ve so far looked at financial accounting – how do businesses present their annual economic transactions. Financial management or management accounting is using financial data to help the management team make decisions
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Differences between financial management and financial accounting
Financial accounting and management accounting can differ in lots of ways – the crucial element is that the financial accounting tends to be historic and summarised and subject to rules about accounting standards and disclosure. Management need timely and often detailed and forward looking information to aid the decision making process. This may mean they want it to be presented in different ways.
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Financial Statements
Users?
Rules?
Features?
Type?
Frequency?
Uses?
Whole company?
Timing?
Detail?
Financial planning and analysis
Treasury manager
Risk management
Corporate strategy
Who might form part of a finance function?
Financial Controller
Financial accountant
General ledger accountants
Cash book
REPORTING/HISTORICAL
FORECASTING/FUTURE
CFO
FD
CFO is known as Csuite – part of the Board of Directors,
Financial controller – oversees the accounts reporting team, responsible for budgets, analysis
Ginance/accounts manager – day to day running of the finance requirements
May also have general ledger accounts responsible for specific areas e.g. cash book
Strategic finance function:
FP&A:
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What’s Next…
Today to 8.30pm: Practice round business simulation and Q&A
Thursday/Friday
5.30pm to 7.30pm (10-12pm) – Financial Planning (including break)
7.30pm 8.30pm (12-1pm) – Business Simulation Round 1
8.30pm (1pm) – Finish!
For Thursday:
Review Weblearn for additional reading and exercises.
Read Atrill Ch 2
Consider: Should a manager take everything in a set of financial projections as fact? Why might the projections be incorrect?
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MN7029 – Financial Decision Making 1.2 Reviewing financial statements
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Week 1.2 – Learning Outcomes Explain the key statements within a company’s Financial Statements; Describe the main users of financial statements and why they would use them; Debate the limitations of financial statements
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Agency & Stakeholder Theory – Enron Who is responsible for the collapse of Enron? What steps could be, or have been, taken to prevent this sort of failure in the future?
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I asked the students to read the Enron article as part of pre course reading. This discussion is a general discussion on what went wrong and what mechanism should have, and have now been put in place to stop this happening again. Get thoughts from students before moving onto suggested answers
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Who is to blame? The business environment – rapid growth The CFO/CEO – set up the structure to enable fraudulent accounting (hiding debts/losses), failed to maintain control of operations Executives – exercised share options at inflated share prices The Board – pursued rapid growth and lost strategic focus Audit committee – did not understand or question the complexity of the business Auditors – close relationship, income from consultancy, failure to interrogate management Stock analysts – had conflict of interest with investment banking side of their firm
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What steps could be taken to prevent this happening? Accounting for the substance not the form of the transaction (changes to accounting standards) Stricter rules around audits Independence of audit firms and investment banks Independence of regulatory bodies – harsher penalties? Stricter rules on director duties More protection for whistleblowers Embedding a culture of ethics Independent audit committees and appointment of those with relevant skills
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Types of business Main types of business Sole trader Partnership Company/corporation In the UK we have Sole trader Partnership Limited Liability Partnership (LLP) Private company (Ltd) Public Company (Plc) We also have special designations e.g.: Charities Place of business B Corp Community Amateur Sports Club (CASC)
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Introduction to types of business structures in the UK
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Example Ownership Structure Nat’s International Company Ltd Investment Company Plc 70 shares = 70% 20 shares = 20% 10 shares = 10%
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This is to break down in simple terms how a company issues shares to owners. I set up Nat’s company with £20 and issue myself 20 shares of £1 each. At that stage I own 100% of the 20 shares in issue so I am the sole shareholder. A friend offers to invest £70 in exchange for 70 shares and a separate investment company invests £10 in exchange for 10 shares. Now the ownership structure consist of 100 shares, of which I own 70 so I own 70% of the company. I use the analogy of a pizza to describe this – the pizza is the whole company, but I can divide it up into as many slices as I like. People take a slice in exchange for putting money into the business. A pizza could have 4 slices (or shares) or 1 million slices and the amount of slices you hold indicates the level of influence you may have over the company.
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Public v Private Companies Company X Management Employees Banks Customers Suppliers General Public? Shareholders General Public
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Introducing the concept of private companies – companies where shares can be issued to and traded by members of the general public
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Public or Private Company A private company (in the UK a Ltd) is held privately, usually by founders or other private individual investors. The general public cannot buy or sell shares in Limited May invite specific people to invest (e.g. a Private Equity Fund or Business Angel) Does not appear on a Stock Exchange A public company (in the UK a Plc) has sold some or all of its shares to the general public by way of an Initial Public Offering (IPO). Listed on a stock exchange Public can buy and sell shares on investment platforms Has a higher level of scrutiny
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Public or Private Company Public companies tend to be larger and have more access to funding, but there are some very large private companies
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Examples of large private companies – private companies does not necessarily correlate to small company
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What is accounting? A process of identifying, recording summarizing and reporting economic information or transactions to decision makers and stakeholders in the form of financial statements There is a difference between financial accounting and management accounting The accounting system is the steps performed to analyze, record, quantify and report economic events and their effects on an organization. It must be designed to meet the needs of the users
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Reiterating the role of accounting as taking many economic transactions in a business and presenting them in a way that is understandable, allowing management to make decisions and allowing interested parties to compare different businesses in the understanding that the companies will have applied standard principles to organising their transactions into this format.
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What are Financial Statements? Record of the company’s performance (in the form of economic information or transactions); Key statements Statement of financial position (balance sheet); Profit or loss (income) statement; Statement of cash flows. A historical record of past events; Numerical data and explanatory notes; Publicly available in the UK Video – what are financial statements?
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Video is halfway down the linked page – you can show in class or the students can review later Financial Statements: List of Types and How to Read Them (investopedia.com)
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The Annual Report and Accounts All UK companies are required to prepare accounts and file with UK Companies House ( https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/companies-house ); If a business is not a company they will still draw up financial statements; Companies must draw up accounts based on UK GAAP or IFRS; All UK companies require an audit unless subject to exemption (e.g. certain small co’s ); Additional publication requirements for public companies.
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Emphasise just how much information is publicly available in the UK – all UK company must prepare accounts and submit to Companies House and anyone can view – different in other jurisdictions – the US does not require private companies to make these publicly available.
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Financial Statements Statement of Financial Position A summary at a fixed point in time; Assets, liabilities and equity. Statement of Profit or Loss Data for a period of time (accounting period); Shows income and expenditure for that period. Cash Flow Data for a period of time (accounting period); Shows cash in and outflows for that period. Not profit
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Financial Statements Cycle 12 month period 12 month period 12 month period Income Statement Cash Flow Income Statement Cash Flow Income Statement Cash Flow Statement of Financial Position Statement of Financial Position Statement of Financial Position Statement of Financial Position
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Emphasising that the Statement of financial position bookends the period
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Who might use financial statements?
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Question for the class – get their ideas on who might use them
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Users of financial statements
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This page can be used if you want to write up the students ideas on who the users might be or you can do it as a discussion
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Pick a user – what might they use the financial statements for?
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Class input – why might people use the statements – this might have been discussed in the previous slide
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Who uses financial statements and why? Current/potential investors Employees Lenders Suppliers Customers Government and regulators The public Will I get paid? Is the company meeting its company law and regulatory requirements? What is the environmental and social impact of the company? What level of profit did the company make? Will the company be able to repay borrowings? How much tax should the company pay? Is the company in danger of insolvency? Can the company continue to supply my goods? Should I invest more/sell shares? Is the company managed effectively? Is the company growing?
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Some ideas of users and what they use them for
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Some key terms… Revenue: Sales made to customers Cost of goods sold: the cost of making the sales Operating expenses: the cost of marketing the product or administering the business Profit: Excess of revenue (sales, turnover) over expenditure (costs of good sold and operating expenses) Assets: Business resources that the company owns or has use of Equity: the investment or “stake” of the owner, the owner’s value in the business (initial investment in shares, retailed profits) Inventory: Stock, goods for resale, raw materials Receivables: money owed to the business Payables: money the business owes to others
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Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet)
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Purpose of the balance sheet The purpose of the balance sheet is to set out the financial position of a business at a particular point in time, the economic resources ( assets ) it controls and where its finance comes from ( liabilities and equity ). It sets out the assets of the business and the claims against it (liabilities and owners’ equity) at a particular point in time.
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What types of assets might you find in a business?
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Ask the class to see if they can guess the assets that the pictures are clues to: Cash Property Machinery Inventory/stock/raw materials Brand names or intangible assets
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Merlin Entertainments Ltd – statement of financial position
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An example of a statement of financial position – Merlin owns and operates theme parks around the world – I usually highlight the property, intangible assets, inventories etc
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Types of assets Current Held for sale or consumption Lifespan of a year of less Held principally for trading Cash or liquid short term investments Non Current Held for longer term Business may be done in or with them (i.e. not consumed) Tangible and intangible
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Figure 2.3 The circulating nature of current assets Cash Trade receivables Inventories
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Circular nature of current assets – business uses cash to buy stock which it then sells for cash immediately (or cash to be received in the future – trade receivable)
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Intangible assets Goodwill: Represents for example brand name, strong management team, business contacts, staff relations Not possible to identify created goodwill separately from the business – subjective so cannot be recorded. Purchased goodwill = price paid – (fair value of the assets – liabilities) – objective so can be recorded. Subject to annual impairment review Other intangibles: For example, trademarks, patents. Stated at cost and amortised over useful economic life
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Typical assets
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What is depreciation?
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Depreciation Depreciation is the allowance for wear and tear on some fixed assets like, plant and machinery. It is an allowance for: Wearing out, Consumption or other reductions in the useful economic life of a fixed asset, NOT A CASH FLOW!!!! Accumulated depreciation shows amount that the asset has lost in value since its purchase You can depreciate on a straight line or a reducing balance (%) method.
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Claims Equity The owner’s claim against the business. Ordinary shares plus reserves Capital. Separate legal identity Liabilities Other parties For example, money owed for raw materials, upfront customer prepayments
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Types of claim Current Settled in a year or less Arise from trading Non Current Held for longer term May not arise from trading (e.g. long term bank loan)
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Typical claims
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The accounting equation Liabilities Assets Equity = +
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The beauty of double entry accounting! The statement of financial position will always balance = assets must equal equity + liabilitirs
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The effect of trading transactions on the accounting equation The accounting equation can be extended as follows: Profit (Loss) Assets Equity Liabilities = + + ( − )
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The income statement (profit & loss account)
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Profit (or loss) for the period = Total revenue for the period – Total expenses incurred in generating that revenue
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What types of income might we have in a business?
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Ask the class if they can guess the types of revenue a business might have: Sales of goods (e.g. a supermarket) Sales of subscriptions (Netflix, a gym) Financial income (e.g. bank interest, or income from share investments) Income from licencing (e.g. Disney might allow someone to use the image of Mickey Mouse on a pencil case and they pay to use that right) Sales of services (e.g. an accountant or lawyers) Rent (e.g. hotels renting rooms, or a landlord renting a property) I like to compare how businesses have evolved their sales models e.g. Blockbuster video (sale/rental or physical product and late fees) v Netflix (subscriptions to view licecnced content)
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Expenses
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Ask the class if they can guess the types of revenue a business might have: People, wages, salaries Light and heat Phone Computing or cloud services (AWS) Delivery costs Rent of property or office Raw materials
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Figure 3.2 The layout of the income statement
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How does Twitter make money?
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This made me laugh – when Elon Musk bought Twitter he had to figure out how to make money from it and introduced the idea of paying for the blue tick. Lots of people complained, including the esteemed author Stephen King and Elon replied to that seemingly negotiating the price. I’m not sure how much product pricing is determined live online with Stephen King, but clearly some is!
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How does Twitter make money?
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How does Twitter make money though? It is free to users, so they are not asking for payment from users. Most of its money is made through advertising. Other companies pay Twitter to promote ads. Some money is also made by selling or licencing the data it collects to other companies who are interested in that data
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How does Twitter make money?
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In 2021 Twitter received revenue or sales of $4.5bn from advertising and $0.5bn from licencing data. Ask students to consider how business they use actually generate cash from sales? Will Twitter need to find a new model e.g. payment for users? Even though it made that money in sales in 2020 and 2021 it made a loss – revenue is not profit. Can a business survive if it continually makes a loss? Yes provided that people are willing to invest money, but when they are not and the cash runs out the business will fail. Lack of profits is not the ultimate killer of businesses it is lack of cash.
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The cash flow statement
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Figure 5.3 Standard presentation for the statement of cash flows
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Cash is not profit!!!
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Operating examples {073A0DAA-6AF3-43AB-8588-CEC1D06C72B9} Profit Cash Receiving a loan from the bank Profitable sale for cash Profitable sale on credit Buying a machine for cash Depreciation of the machine Buying inventory (stock) for cash Issuing shares to investors for cash
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Operating examples {073A0DAA-6AF3-43AB-8588-CEC1D06C72B9} Profit Cash Receiving a loan from the bank None Increase Profitable sale for cash Increase Increase Profitable sale on credit Increase None Buying a machine for cash None Increase Depreciation of the machine Decrease None Buying inventory (stock) for cash None Decrease Issuing shares to investors for cash None Increase
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Financial Management Also called cost and management accounting; Using financial data to help make business decisions; Fundamental qualities of financial information: Relevant Timely Understandable Comparable Verifiable
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We’ve so far looked at financial accounting – how do businesses present their annual economic transactions. Financial management or management accounting is using financial data to help the management team make decisions
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Differences between financial management and financial accounting
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Financial accounting and management accounting can differ in lots of ways – the crucial element is that the financial accounting tends to be historic and summarised and subject to rules about accounting standards and disclosure. Management need timely and often detailed and forward looking information to aid the decision making process. This may mean they want it to be presented in different ways.
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Financial planning and analysis Treasury manager Risk management Corporate strategy Who might form part of a finance function? Financial Controller Financial accountant General ledger accountants Cash book REPORTING/HISTORICAL FORECASTING/FUTURE CFO FD
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CFO is known as Csuite – part of the Board of Directors, Financial controller – oversees the accounts reporting team, responsible for budgets, analysis Ginance /accounts manager – day to day running of the finance requirements May also have general ledger accounts responsible for specific areas e.g. cash book Strategic finance function: FP&A:
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Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level
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Land and buildings, Machinery and equipment, Fixtures and fittings, Debtors (receivables), Investments Cash Inventory
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Land and buildings, Machinery and equipment, Fixtures and fittings, Debtors (receivables), Investments Cash Inventory
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Long term loans Wages payable Deposits received Trade creditors Loans and debentures Bank overdraft
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Long term loans Wages payable Deposits received Trade creditors Loans and debentures Bank overdraft
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Financial Statements Users? Rules? Features? Type? Frequency? Uses? Whole company? Timing? Detail?
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Financial Statements Users? Rules? Features? Type? Frequency? Uses? Whole company? Timing? Detail?
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Office Theme 0 9740 WPS 演示 Widescreen 454 50 27 0 0 false 已用的字体 15 主题 10 幻灯片标题 50 Arial 宋体 Wingdings Arial Verdana Times New Roman Times MS PGothic Calibri 微软雅黑 Arial Unicode MS 等线 MS UI Gothic Calibri Light 黑体 Default Design 2_Content slides – basic Office Theme Content slides – basic 3_Content slides – basic 1_Content slides – basic 4_Content slides – basic 5_Content slides – basic 1_Default Design 3_Default Design MN7029 – Financial Decision Making Week 1.2 – Learning Outcomes Agency & Stakeholder Theory – Enron Who is to blame? What steps could be taken to prevent this happening? Types of business Example Ownership Structure Public v Private Companies Public or Private Company Public or Private Company What is accounting? What are Financial Statements? The Annual Report and Accounts Financial Statements Financial Statements Cycle Who might use financial statements? PowerPoint 演示文稿 Pick a user – what might they use the financial statements for? Who uses financial statements and why? Some key terms… Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet) Purpose of the balance sheet What types of assets might you find in a business? Merlin Entertainments Ltd – statement of financial position Types of assets PowerPoint 演示文稿 Intangible assets Typical assets What is depreciation? Depreciation Claims Types of claim Typical claims PowerPoint 演示文稿 PowerPoint 演示文稿 The income statement (profit & loss account) Profit (or loss) for the period = Total revenue for the period – Total expenses incurred in generating that revenue What types of income might we have in a business? Expenses PowerPoint 演示文稿 How does Twitter make money? How does Twitter make money? How does Twitter make money? The cash flow statement PowerPoint 演示文稿 Operating examples Operating examples Financial Management Differences between financial management and financial accounting Who might form part of a finance function? false false false 14.0000
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MN6068 – Financial Decision Making for Managers Natalie Langley Jyyy 13 2021-05-17T13:25:00Z 2024-04-12T12:46:58Z
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